Achieving Exchange Rate Stability Targeting the 2010- 2015 Era for Economic Resilience

Luke Benedict Benedict Luke Ibanga, silva Opuala-Charles
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Abstract

The continuous fall in the value of Naira against foreign denominated assets is somewhat worrisome. Policy strategy is of essence to adjust the exchange rate to pre 2010 regime. Hence, this paper appraises the exchange rate policy measures, especially the most recent ones in addressing volatility in or national currency and restore equilibrium purchasing power. A stylized fact was deployed to draw inferences on the nuanced policy models pre and post 2010 regime. This study reported that, managed float mechanism sought to achieve exchange rate stability within upper and lower fluctuation margins. Whereas, flexible system, in operation now, allows the CBN to intervene in the market when necessary while upholding high levels of transparency and accountability. This has ensured that while the flexible exchange rate system is sustained, the exchange rate is prevented from excessive volatility. Therefore, mixture of flexible and partially interventionist policy is recommended. Keyword: Equilibrium, Exchange rate management, Trend analysis, macroeconomic policy.
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以 2010--2015 年为目标,实现汇率稳定,增强经济活力
奈拉对外币资产的汇率持续下跌令人担忧。将汇率调整到 2010 年之前的水平是政策战略的关键所在。因此,本文对汇率政策措施进行了评估,特别是最近在解决本国货币波动和恢复均衡购买力方面采取的措施。本文采用了一种风格化事实来推断 2010 年之前和之后的微妙政策模式。该研究报告指出,有管理的浮动机制寻求在上下波动幅度内实现汇率稳定。而目前实行的灵活制度允许中央银行在必要时干预市场,同时坚持高水平的透明度和问责制。这确保了在维持灵活汇率制度的同时,防止汇率过度波动。因此,建议混合使用灵活政策和部分干预政策。关键词:均衡 汇率管理 趋势分析 宏观经济政策
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