Investment climate assessment standards’ impact on the gross regional product growth of the Russian Federation subjects

L. I. Sergeyev, A. V. Samsonov
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Abstract

   The study purpose is to identify the relationship between the provisions’ implementation of the regional investment standard and the growth of the gross regional product (GRP) in the Russian Federation subjects.   The average values’ statistically significant deviation of the GRP dynamics in 11 pilot regions of the Russian Federation and other subjects of the Russian Federation as an introduction result of regional investment standards developed by the Agency for Strategic Initiatives for the Promotion of New Projects (ANO “ASI”) together with the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation has been summarized. It is established that there is a statistically significant difference in the dynamics of the average GRP of the pilot and other regions of the Russian Federation, due to the implementing process of the provisions of the ANO “ASI” Standard. The provisions’ introduction of the ANO “ASI” Standard since 2012 has caused a statistically significant difference in the dynamics of the average GRP of the pilot and other regions of the Russian Federation. In fact, a significant outstripping dynamic of macroeconomic indicators for the development of pilot regions has not been achieved. The revealed situation testifies to the uneven movement of financial flows in the Russian Federation: about 45.8%of the profit of organizations falls on Moscow and St. Petersburg (2021). Despite the lack of outstripping dynamics of GRP and investments in fixed assets in comparison with the average value in the Russian Federation, the pilot regions managed to ensure a more stable dynamics of GRP in 2020. Despite the presence of partially lagging macroeconomic indicators’ dynamics of the pilot Russian Federation regions in comparison with the average values for the Russian Federation, the introduction of regional investment standards is an important condition for effective interaction between territorial authorities and a wide range of investors.
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投资环境评估标准对俄罗斯联邦主体地区生产总值增长的影响
本研究旨在确定俄罗斯联邦各主体实施地区投资标准的规定与地区生产总值(GRP)增长之间的关系。 研究总结了俄罗斯联邦 11 个试点地区和俄罗斯联邦其他主体的地区生产总值动态的平均值和统计上的显著偏差,这是俄罗斯联邦新项目战略促进署(ANO "ASI")与俄罗斯联邦经济发展部共同制定的地区投资标准的引入结果。结果表明,由于 "促进新项目战略倡议署"(ANO "ASI")标准条款的实施过程,试点地区与俄罗 斯联邦其他地区的平均 GRP 动态在统计学上存在显著差异。自 2012 年起,ANO "ASI "标准条款的实施使试点地区和俄罗斯联邦其他地区的平均 GRP 动态变化在统计上出现了显著差异。事实上,试点地区的宏观经济发展指标并未出现明显的超前动态。所揭示的情况证明了俄罗斯联邦资金流动的不平衡:约 45.8%的组织利润流向莫斯科和圣彼得堡(2021 年)。尽管与俄罗斯联邦的平均值相比,GRP 和固定资产投资的增长速度并不突出,但试点地区仍能确保 2020 年 GRP 的增长速度更加稳定。尽管与俄罗斯联邦的平均值相比,俄罗斯联邦试点地区的宏观经济指标动态部分滞后,但 地区投资标准的引入是地区当局与广大投资者进行有效互动的重要条件。
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280
审稿时长
4 weeks
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