Career path clustering of elite soccer players among European Big-5 nations utilizing Dynamic Time Warping

IF 1.1 Q3 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI:10.1515/jqas-2023-0080
Viktor Wolf, Ralf Lanwehr, Marcel Bieschke, Daniel Leyhr
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Abstract

Prior clustering approaches of soccer players have employed a variety of methods based on various data categories, but none of them have focused on clustering by career paths characterized through a time series analysis of yearly performance quality. Therefore, this study aims to propose a methodology how a career path can be represented as a time series of a player’s seasonal qualities and then be clustered with players that have a similar career path. The underlying data focuses on soccer players from the five largest European soccer nations (Big-5). This allows for the identification of different types of career paths of players and the investigation of significant disparities between career paths among the Big-5 nations. In line with our proposed methodological approach, we identified and interpreted 13 different clusters of player career paths. These range from the cluster with the highest player quality scores to the pattern comprising players with the weakest scores. Further, the detected clusters show significant differences regarding variables of soccer players’ early career phase in adolescence (e.g., age of debut in professional soccer, years spent in a youth academy). The presented approach might represent a first step for stakeholders in soccer to get an objective insight in players’ career by utilizing mainly freely available data sources.
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利用动态时间扭曲对欧洲五大联赛国家精英足球运动员的职业道路进行分类
之前的足球运动员聚类方法采用了基于各种数据类别的多种方法,但没有一种方法侧重于通过对年度表现质量的时间序列分析来对职业生涯路径进行聚类。因此,本研究旨在提出一种方法,即如何用球员赛季表现质量的时间序列来表示球员的职业生涯轨迹,然后对具有相似职业生涯轨迹的球员进行聚类。基础数据主要来自欧洲五大足球国家(Big-5)的足球运动员。这样就可以识别不同类型球员的职业生涯轨迹,并调查五大联赛国家之间职业生涯轨迹的显著差异。根据我们提出的方法论,我们确定并解释了 13 个不同的球员职业道路集群。这些群组既有球员质量得分最高的群组,也有球员质量得分最弱的群组。此外,所发现的聚类在足球运动员青春期早期职业生涯阶段的变量(如首次参加职业足球比赛的年龄、在青训学校度过的年数)方面显示出显著差异。对于足球领域的利益相关者来说,本文提出的方法可能是利用主要免费数据源客观了解球员职业生涯的第一步。
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来源期刊
Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports
Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS-
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
12.50%
发文量
15
期刊介绍: The Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports (JQAS), an official journal of the American Statistical Association, publishes timely, high-quality peer-reviewed research on the quantitative aspects of professional and amateur sports, including collegiate and Olympic competition. The scope of application reflects the increasing demand for novel methods to analyze and understand data in the growing field of sports analytics. Articles come from a wide variety of sports and diverse perspectives, and address topics such as game outcome models, measurement and evaluation of player performance, tournament structure, analysis of rules and adjudication, within-game strategy, analysis of sporting technologies, and player and team ranking methods. JQAS seeks to publish manuscripts that demonstrate original ways of approaching problems, develop cutting edge methods, and apply innovative thinking to solve difficult challenges in sports contexts. JQAS brings together researchers from various disciplines, including statistics, operations research, machine learning, scientific computing, econometrics, and sports management.
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