A mean field game model for optimal trading in the intraday electricity market

IF 1.4 Q3 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS Decisions in Economics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI:10.1007/s10203-024-00445-1
Sema Coskun, Ralf Korn
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Abstract

In this study, we provide a simple one period mean-field-games setting for the joint optimal trading problem for electricity producers in the electricity markets. Based on the Markowitz mean-variance approach from stock trading, we consider a decision problem of an electricity provider when determining the optimal fractions of production that should be traded in the day-ahead and in the intraday markets. Moreover, all such providers are related by a ranking criterion and each one wants to perform as good as possible in this ranking. We first start with a simple model where only the price risk in the intraday market is present and subsequently extend the problem to the cases involving either production and/or demand uncertainty. The key technique is to reduce the optimality conditions to a first order non-linear ordinary differential equation. We will illustrate our findings by various numerical examples. Our findings will in particular be important for electricity producers using renewable resources.

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日内电力市场最佳交易的均值场博弈模型
在本研究中,我们为电力市场中电力生产商的联合最优交易问题提供了一个简单的单期均值-场博弈设置。基于股票交易中的马科维茨均值-方差方法,我们考虑了电力供应商在确定应在日前市场和日内市场进行交易的最优产量时的决策问题。此外,所有这些供应商都有一个排名标准,每个供应商都希望在这个排名中表现尽可能好。我们首先从一个简单的模型开始,即只存在盘中市场的价格风险,然后将问题扩展到涉及生产和/或需求不确定性的情况。关键技术是将最优条件简化为一阶非线性常微分方程。我们将通过各种数值示例来说明我们的发现。我们的发现对于使用可再生资源的电力生产商尤为重要。
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来源期刊
Decisions in Economics and Finance
Decisions in Economics and Finance SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS-
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
9.10%
发文量
10
期刊介绍: Decisions in Economics and Finance: A Journal of Applied Mathematics is the official publication of the Association for Mathematics Applied to Social and Economic Sciences (AMASES). It provides a specialised forum for the publication of research in all areas of mathematics as applied to economics, finance, insurance, management and social sciences. Primary emphasis is placed on original research concerning topics in mathematics or computational techniques which are explicitly motivated by or contribute to the analysis of economic or financial problems.
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