It's not about the money: New evidence on U.S. reconstruction aid in Italy, 1947–68

Marco Martinez
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Abstract

This paper studies the economic impact of foreign aid on Italian firms. In particular, I study the different effects of three main forms of aid: Export–Import Bank loans, Marshall Plan European Recovery Program (ERP) ‘dollars’ loans and the Marshall Plan ERP ‘lire’ loans. In all programmes, the United States sent technologically advanced machinery to allow for a modernization of the technology of Italian firms, but the conditions of such loans differed. This paper tests how crucial such different features have been for the effectiveness of firm reconstruction aid. By creating a new dataset on recipient firms and linking it to a large comprehensive firm‐level dataset (Imita.db), I compare the effects on the performance of firms. I find that the Export–Import Bank loan raised the long‐run profitability of firms, but that firms which received more flexible forms of Marshall Plan aid (‘ERP‐lire’) raised their performance much more than Export–Import Bank recipients. Recipients who only received funds provided with long delays (‘ERP‐dollars’) did not benefit from them. This evidence suggests that rather than receiving foreign aid per se, the most crucial features of reconstruction aid in Italy have been obtaining the requested goods on time and adjusting requests to receive the most needed productive goods.
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不是钱的问题1947-68 年美国援助意大利重建的新证据
本文研究外国援助对意大利企业的经济影响。我特别研究了三种主要援助形式的不同影响:进出口银行贷款、马歇尔计划欧洲复兴计划(ERP)"美元 "贷款和马歇尔计划ERP "里拉 "贷款。在所有计划中,美国都提供了技术先进的机器,使意大利企业的技术得以现代化,但这些贷款的条件各不相同。本文检验了这些不同的特点对于企业重建援助的有效性有多重要。通过创建一个新的受援企业数据集,并将其与一个大型综合企业级数据集(Imita.db)相链接,我比较了这些数据集对企业绩效的影响。我发现,进出口银行贷款提高了企业的长期盈利能力,但接受马歇尔计划援助("ERP-lire")形式更灵活的企业比进出口银行受援企业的业绩提高得更多。只接受长期拖延提供的资金("ERP-美元")的受援国并没有从中受益。这些证据表明,在意大利,重建援助最重要的特点不是接受外国援助本身,而是及时获得所需的物资,并调整援助请求,以获得最需要的生产物资。
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