TYPICATION OF WINTER IN ILE ALATAU BY SNOW CONDITION AND AVALANCHE ACTIVITY

Vitaly Zhdanov, Nuraily Kuzhageldina, Kamalbekova Aidana, Aldabergen Ulzhan
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Abstract

Snow avalanches affect human economic and recreational activities in the mountains. In some avalanche-active winters, they cause significant damage and loss of life. As a result of many years of research, it was found that avalanches strongly depend on the meteorological and synoptic conditions of each individual winter. The main indicator of the danger of the current season is the total and maximum volumes of avalanches in a particular river basin. It strongly depends on the height and water content of the snow cover and the amount of precipitation. The correlation coefficients are 0.36...0.66. In some avalanche-prone winters (1965...66, 1986...87, 2016...17) in the river basin. In Kishi Almaty, the total volume of avalanches reaches 300...500 thousand m3, and in non-avalanche-hazardous winters it does not exceed 20...30 thousand m3. During the years of minimal solar and cyclonic activity in the studied avalanche basin, the highest snow cover heights and avalanche activity are observed. This is probably due to the fact that winter cyclones produce precipitation in the foothill areas in cold years. And the increase in snowfall and avalanche activity is more associated with spring warming and the beginning of snow melting. Studying the meteorological conditions of avalanche formation helps assess the potential danger of the current season. This is of practical importance for planning the work of tourist sites and operational rescue services in the mountains.
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根据雪况和雪崩活动确定伊勒阿拉托冬季的类型
雪崩影响山区的人类经济和娱乐活动。在一些雪崩活跃的冬季,雪崩会造成重大损失和人员伤亡。多年的研究发现,雪崩在很大程度上取决于每个冬季的气象和天气条件。衡量当前季节危险性的主要指标是特定流域的雪崩总量和最大数量。这在很大程度上取决于积雪的高度和含水量以及降水量。相关系数为 0.36...0.66。在该流域一些容易发生雪崩的冬季(1965...66 年、1986...87 年、2016...17 年)。在 Kishi Almaty,雪崩总量达到 30...50 万立方米,而在无雪崩危害的冬季,雪崩总量不超过 2...3 万立方米。在所研究的雪崩盆地太阳活动和气旋活动最少的年份,雪盖高度和雪崩活动都是最高的。这可能是由于冬季气旋在寒冷年份会在山麓地区产生降水。而降雪量和雪崩活动的增加则更多地与春季变暖和积雪开始融化有关。研究雪崩形成的气象条件有助于评估当前季节的潜在危险。这对规划山区旅游景点和救援服务工作具有重要的实际意义。
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