Optimal Control of Transmission Dynamics of Meningitis Disease with Vaccination, Campaign, and Treatment Factors

Sulma, Syamsuddin Toaha, Kasbawati, Moh Ivan Azis
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Abstract

Meningitis disease is an inflammation of the membranes that protect the brain and spinal cord. This disease can be fatal to life-threatening because symptoms can appear suddenly. Meningitis is also common in infants and young children and can cause complications if not treated promptly. To prevent infection of susceptible compartment and to speed recovery of infected compartments, vaccination, campaign, and treatment are needed to prevent the spread of the disease or at least reduce the number of carrier and infected individuals. Therefore, we propose a model of meningitis disease spread consisting of five compartments, namely susceptible, carrier, infected with and without symptoms, and recovered. Vaccination, campaign and treatment are included in the model mechanism as controls. This study aims to observe the effectiveness of vaccination, campaign, and treatment in inhibiting the spread of the disease and accelerating the recovery of infected individuals. The Pontryagin minimum principle is followed to derive the optimal control problem. Numerical simulation using Runge-Kutta of order four scheme with the forward-backward sweep approach is applied to visualize the curves of state and control variables. From the numerical simulations, it is found that vaccination, campaign, and treatment are reasonable to apply in order to bridle meningitis disease from the population.
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利用疫苗接种、运动和治疗因素优化脑膜炎传播动态控制
脑膜炎是一种保护大脑和脊髓的膜的炎症。由于症状会突然出现,这种疾病可能致命,也可能危及生命。脑膜炎在婴幼儿中也很常见,如果不及时治疗会引起并发症。为了防止易感人群受到感染,并加快受感染人群的康复速度,需要进行疫苗接种、宣传和治疗,以防止疾病传播,或至少减少带菌者和受感染者的数量。因此,我们提出了一个脑膜炎疾病传播模型,该模型由五个部分组成,即易感者、带菌者、有症状和无症状感染者以及康复者。模型机制中包括疫苗接种、宣传活动和治疗作为对照。本研究旨在观察疫苗接种、宣传和治疗在抑制疾病传播和加速感染者康复方面的效果。本研究遵循庞特里亚金最小原理推导出最优控制问题。使用 Runge-Kutta 四阶方案和前向-后向扫频方法进行数值模拟,以直观显示状态变量和控制变量的曲线。数值模拟结果表明,为了从人群中消除脑膜炎疾病,接种疫苗、开展宣传和治疗是合理的。
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