China’s Greenfield Investment and African Countries’ Green Growth Under the Belt and Road Initiative

Zhaoke Zhang
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Abstract

Though in recent years African countries have experienced rapid economic growth, there is a growing need for them to accelerate the process of green growth to address challenges like climate change and depletion of natural resources. Under the framework of Belt and Road Initiative, this paper empirically examines the impact of China’s greenfield investment on green growth of African countries based on the STIRPAT model, using panel data of 37 African countries from 2003 to 2020. The results show that China’s greenfield investment can significantly contribute to green growth of African countries, including the improvement of energy productivity, CO2 productivity and non-energy material productivity, which confirms the validity of the “Pollution Halo Hypothesis” in the African region, and improvements in institutional quality can increase the contribution of greenfield investments. Compared with global greenfield investment, China is playing an important role in the green growth of African countries. The research in this paper expands the existing literature on investment and green growth, helps to grasp the reality of the environmental effects of China’s greenfield investment in Africa, and provides empirical evidence and policy support for Sino-African economic and trade cooperation and the high-quality green development of the “Belt and Road”.
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中国的绿地投资与非洲国家在 "一带一路 "倡议下的绿色增长
尽管近年来非洲国家经济快速增长,但它们越来越需要加快绿色增长进程,以应对气候变化和自然资源枯竭等挑战。在 "一带一路 "倡议框架下,本文基于 STIRPAT 模型,利用 2003-2020 年 37 个非洲国家的面板数据,实证检验了中国绿地投资对非洲国家绿色增长的影响。结果表明,中国绿地投资能够显著促进非洲国家的绿色增长,包括提高能源生产率、二氧化碳生产率和非能源物质生产率,这印证了 "污染晕假说 "在非洲地区的有效性,而制度质量的改善能够提高绿地投资的贡献率。与全球绿地投资相比,中国在非洲国家的绿色增长中发挥着重要作用。本文的研究拓展了现有关于投资与绿色增长的文献,有助于把握中国对非洲绿地投资的现实环境效应,为中非经贸合作和 "一带一路 "的高质量绿色发展提供实证依据和政策支持。
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