Index for Public Administration Resilience Against Hybrid Threats

Abstract

EU countries are dependent on the import of many raw materials. The geopolitical situation significantly impacts the European Union's raw materials policy. Hybrid threats are a serious challenge to security and stability in the world. They are very diverse in terms of actors, activities, or tools. The relationship between the EU's raw materials policy and hybrid threats is complex and influenced by a number of factors. In principle, however, it can be said that due to its dependence on importing raw materials from third countries, the EU is more prone to become the object of hybrid threats that these countries can use to promote their interests. The resistance of the public administration to hybrid threats is one of the important factors that can help the EU reduce the risk of threats to raw material policy by hybrid threats. The aim of the contribution is to create a new composite index, KAPA, which measures the resistance of public administration to hybrid threats. The proposed index has five dimensions – cybersecurity, resistance to disinformation, compliance with laws and security, protection against corruption, and prevention of a sovereign debt crisis. When constructing the KAPA index, we start from the apparatus of fuzzy sets. We have drawn all data from reputable, publicly available databases. According to the KAPA index, the countries ranked best are Estonia, Denmark, Finland, Sweden, and the Netherlands. The worst-ranked countries were Greece, Cyprus, Italy, Bulgaria, and Croatia. The results confirmed that fragile states, measured by the Fragile States Index FSI, are also more vulnerable to hybrid threats and have less resilient public administration.