The model of the value system of Russian youth based on Bayesian intellectual measurements

R. Zhukov, S. V. Prokopchiva, I. V. Bormotov, E. Manokhin, I. D. Rudneva
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Abstract

   Purpose: of the article is to develop a model of the value system of Russian youth, which can form the basis for the formation of the orientations of young people necessary for the state, contributing to the sustainable development of the Russian Federation.   Methods: the article used both traditional methods of scientifi c analysis and methods of Bayesian intelligent measurement methodology used in conditions of uncertainty, inaccuracy and incompleteness of data characteristic of social and socio-economic systems.   Results: in the presented study, the extensible hierarchical information model of the value system of Russian youth has been developed. The methodology for processing questionnaire data has been developed, the results of which are presented on numerical and linguistic scales, which makes it possible to take into account the uncertainty of the information received. According to the results of the survey of university students of 10 subjects of the Russian Federation aged 17 to 30 years, a total of 1816 people obtained the values of factors characterizing the value world of Russian youth, which allowed her to form her portrait. Some value factors of young people of the Tula region are evaluated and analyzed.   Conclusions and Relevance: the proposed model and methodology for processing personal data allows us to create the adequate holistic portrait of Russian youth in modern economic conditions. The formation of two groups of young people characterized by unfavorable and favorable value attitudes towards Russian society has been revealed, which in the future may lead to a confl ict of social and economic interests, thereby negatively aff ecting the pace of economic growth and sustainable development of the state. In order to reduce internal tension between youth groups and the formation of values inherent in Russian society, measures at the federal and regional levels are proposed.
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基于贝叶斯智力测量的俄罗斯青年价值体系模型
目的:文章旨在建立一个俄罗斯青年价值体系模型,该模型可为形成国家所需的青年方向 奠定基础,为俄罗斯联邦的可持续发展做出贡献。 方法:文章既使用了传统的科学分析方法,也使用了贝叶斯智能测量方法,这些方法是在 社会和社会经济系统特有的数据不确定、不准确和不完整的条件下使用的。 成果:在本研究中,开发了俄罗斯青年价值体系的可扩展分层信息模型。制定了处理问卷数据的方法,其结果以数字和语言尺度呈现,从而有可能考虑到所获信息的不确定性。根据对俄罗斯联邦 10 个国家 17 至 30 岁大学生的调查结果,共有 1816 人获得了俄罗斯青 年价值世界的特征因素值,从而形成了自己的肖像。对图拉地区青年的一些价值因素进行了评估和分析。 结论和现实意义:所提出的个人数据处理模式和方法使我们能够在现代经济条件下为俄罗 斯青年绘制适当的整体肖像。研究揭示了对俄罗斯社会持不利和有利价值态度的两个青年群体的形成,这在未来可能会导致社会和经济利益的冲突,从而对国家的经济增长和可持续发展的步伐产生负面影响。为了缓解青年群体之间的内部紧张关系和俄罗斯社会固有价值观的形成,建议在联邦和 地区层面采取措施。
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