Spatiotemporal patterns, effects, and the interactive driving mechanisms of urban sustainability based on the eco-efficiency framework: Evidence from Chinese prefecture-level cities

Abstract

Eco-efficiency is a vital tool for evaluating and advancing regional sustainable development. This study presents an urban eco-efficiency (UEE) framework that deserves widespread application. By using the Super Slacks-Based Measure model, the research calculates the UEE of 284 prefecture-level cities in China from 2005 to 2022. The study employs the Standard Deviational Ellipse to illustrate the spatiotemporal pattern of UEE in China and examines its effects using non-parametric kernel density estimation, the coefficient of variation, and both global and local Moran's I. The integration of UEE with urban development patterns, which is not immediately clear, is achieved through the entropy-based TOPSIS model. Additionally, the Malmquist index, the Two-way Fixed Effects (TWFE) model, and the Panel Vector Autoregression (PVAR) model reveal the dynamic changes and interactive driving mechanisms of UEE in China. The results indicate that: (1) UEE in China displays a consistent “core-periphery” pattern, exhibiting a notable hierarchical impact from regional, scale, and administrative perspectives. The complexity of UEE's spatiotemporal variations has increased due to the impact of COVID-19. (2) The UEE of Chinese cities shows a significant ‘club’ effect, with efficiency thresholds for high-high and low-low aggregations set at 0.8. (3) Only 25% of Chinese cities have achieved optimal UEE levels. Notably, cities in the west contribute most to national UEE growth, while midland cities contribute the least. The decreasing trend in UEE growth underscores the urgent need for a shift in China's urban development model. (4) UEE in China benefits from a resilient self-reinforcing mechanism, with urban development and economic growth significantly aiding UEE growth. Despite a non-significant negative impact from government intervention, the inhibitory effect of an intensive industrial structure on UEE turns into a promotional effect, especially following COVID-19.