Predistribution versus Redistribution: Evidence from France and the United States

Antoine Bozio, Bertrand Garbinti, Jonathan Goupille-Lebret, M. Guillot, Thomas Piketty
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Abstract

We construct series of posttax income for France over the 1900–2018 period and compare them with US series. We quantify the extent of redistribution—the reduction from pretax to posttax inequality—and estimate the contribution of redistribution in explaining differences in posttax inequality. We find that differences in pretax inequality drive most of the differences in posttax inequality between France and the United States, and that changes over time in both countries are mostly due to changes in pretax inequality. We highlight that the concept of redistribution can be empirically misleading for judging how policies reduce inequalities. (JEL D31, H23, H24, H31, I38)
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预分配与再分配:来自法国和美国的证据
我们构建了 1900-2018 年期间法国的税后收入序列,并将其与美国的序列进行比较。我们量化了再分配的程度--从税前不平等到税后不平等的减少,并估算了再分配在解释税后不平等差异方面的贡献。我们发现,税前不平等的差异是造成法国和美国税后不平等差异的主要原因,而两国税后不平等随时间的变化主要是由税前不平等的变化引起的。我们强调,在判断政策如何减少不平等时,再分配的概念可能会在经验上产生误导。(JEL D31, H23, H24, H31, I38)
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