Does the development of fintech promote debt risk? Evidence from East Java province

Angga Restu Wardhana, Diyan Indriyani
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Abstract

Developments of financial technology have an impact on economic growth and people’s income. The rapid development of fintech has the impact of increasing financial inclusion or debt risk. This study aims to determine the impact of fintech on consumption behaviour and debt risks in East Java. The research data is from January 2019 - December 2020 with fintech variables, online loans, consumption levels, and debt risk. The research methods used are SVAR and OLS to provide an explanation of the impact of fintech on consumption behaviour and debt risk. The results of the research, fintech in the short-run restriction does not directly affect consumption levels, but in the long-run restriction, it directly affects consumption. Fintech will affect consumption through online lending. On the other hand, fintech has a significant effect on loan risk. The policy mix between related institutions can increase the positive role of fintech and mitigate loan risk.
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金融科技的发展会促进债务风险吗?来自东爪哇省的证据
金融科技的发展对经济增长和人民收入都有影响。金融科技的快速发展会增加金融包容性或债务风险。本研究旨在确定金融科技对东爪哇消费行为和债务风险的影响。研究数据为 2019 年 1 月至 2020 年 12 月的金融科技变量、在线贷款、消费水平和债务风险。使用的研究方法是SVAR和OLS,以解释金融科技对消费行为和债务风险的影响。研究结果表明,金融科技在短期限制下不会直接影响消费水平,但在长期限制下会直接影响消费。金融科技会通过网络借贷影响消费。另一方面,金融科技对贷款风险有显著影响。相关机构之间的政策组合可以提高金融科技的积极作用,降低贷款风险。
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