{"title":"Simulation-Based Ecological Risk Assessment of the Black Sea Ecosystem","authors":"N. V. Solovjova, I. V. Kovalyova","doi":"10.1134/s0001437024010119","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<h3 data-test=\"abstract-sub-heading\">\n<b>Abstract</b>—</h3><p>The article presents the results of simulation research of the ecological risk for three shelf areas of the Black Sea exposed to different combinations of external stressors. Simulated risk calculations were performed for the aggregated phytoplankton taking into account the intra-annual variations in biomass values obtained from observation data. The results revealed a significant dependence of the ecological risk on the intra-annual state of phytoplankton and also made it possible to calculate the dependence of the permissible probability of impacts on ecological risk. The latter identified areas of probable errors of the second kind, which is of practical importance for ensuring ecological safety in the shelf resources development.</p>","PeriodicalId":54692,"journal":{"name":"Oceanology","volume":"95 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.3000,"publicationDate":"2024-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Oceanology","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1134/s0001437024010119","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"OCEANOGRAPHY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract—
The article presents the results of simulation research of the ecological risk for three shelf areas of the Black Sea exposed to different combinations of external stressors. Simulated risk calculations were performed for the aggregated phytoplankton taking into account the intra-annual variations in biomass values obtained from observation data. The results revealed a significant dependence of the ecological risk on the intra-annual state of phytoplankton and also made it possible to calculate the dependence of the permissible probability of impacts on ecological risk. The latter identified areas of probable errors of the second kind, which is of practical importance for ensuring ecological safety in the shelf resources development.
期刊介绍：
Oceanology, founded in 1961, is the leading journal in all areas of the marine sciences. It publishes original papers in all fields of theoretical and experimental research in physical, chemical, biological, geological, and technical oceanology. The journal also offers reviews and information about conferences, symposia, cruises, and other events of interest to the oceanographic community.
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