Epidemic dynamics of cholera with impulsive sanitation

IF 3.7 2区 计算机科学 Q2 AUTOMATION & CONTROL SYSTEMS Nonlinear Analysis-Hybrid Systems Pub Date : 2024-05-06 DOI:10.1016/j.nahs.2024.101502
Xueying Wang , Feng-Bin Wang
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Abstract

In this work, we develop an ordinary differential equation (ODE) model with impulsive sanitation of cholera. The sanitation interventions are classified into three types in this article. The first two types are human sanitation, with type-1 sanitation focused on the prevention of direct and indirect transmissions and type-2 focused on prevention of bacterial shedding. The third type refers to pathogen sanitation where interventions are performed in contaminated water environment via disinfection. For the developed impulsive model, we introduce the basic production number R0 and show that R0 remains a sharp disease threshold parameter despite the incorporation of impulsive sanitation. We numerically investigate the impact of impulsive sanitation on the prevention and control of the disease. Our numerical results indicate that type-1 sanitation tends to bear the longest time window between subsequent interventions among all the three types of sanitation provided the same level of sanitation efficacy. Particularly, when the sanitation efficacy is 50% under 90% compliance, type-1 sanitation can be implemented about every 7 months for the purpose of disease control, whereas type-2 and type-3 sanitation will have be performed on a daily basis and every three weeks or so, respectively.

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霍乱的流行动态与冲动性卫生设施
在这项工作中,我们建立了一个具有霍乱冲动性卫生设施的常微分方程(ODE)模型。本文将卫生干预分为三种类型。前两类是人类卫生,其中第一类卫生重点是防止直接和间接传播,第二类卫生重点是防止细菌脱落。第三类是病原体卫生,通过消毒对受污染的水环境进行干预。对于所开发的脉冲模型,我们引入了基本生产数 R0,并表明尽管加入了脉冲卫生,R0 仍然是一个尖锐的疾病阈值参数。我们用数值方法研究了脉冲卫生对疾病预防和控制的影响。我们的数值结果表明,在卫生效力相同的情况下,在所有三种卫生类型中,1 型卫生设施往往在后续干预之间承担最长的时间窗口。特别是,当卫生效力为 50%、符合率为 90%时,1 类卫生设施可每隔 7 个月左右实施一次,以达到控制疾病的目的,而 2 类和 3 类卫生设施则分别需要每天和每隔三周左右实施一次。
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来源期刊
Nonlinear Analysis-Hybrid Systems
Nonlinear Analysis-Hybrid Systems AUTOMATION & CONTROL SYSTEMS-MATHEMATICS, APPLIED
CiteScore
8.30
自引率
9.50%
发文量
65
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Nonlinear Analysis: Hybrid Systems welcomes all important research and expository papers in any discipline. Papers that are principally concerned with the theory of hybrid systems should contain significant results indicating relevant applications. Papers that emphasize applications should consist of important real world models and illuminating techniques. Papers that interrelate various aspects of hybrid systems will be most welcome.
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