Monitoring the Dynamic Networks of Stock Returns with an Application to the Swedish Stock Market

IF 1.9 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Computational Economics Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI:10.1007/s10614-024-10616-2
Elena Farahbakhsh Touli, Hoang Nguyen, Olha Bodnar
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Abstract

In this paper, two approaches for measuring the distance between stock returns and the network connectedness are presented that are based on the Pearson correlation coefficient dissimilarity and the generalized variance decomposition dissimilarity. Using these two procedures, the center of the network is determined. Also, hierarchical clustering methods are used to divide the dense networks into sparse trees, which provide us with information about how the companies of a financial market are related to each other. We implement the derived theoretical results to study the dynamic connectedness between the companies in the Swedish capital market by considering 28 companies included in the determination of the market index OMX30. The network structure of the market is constructed using different methods to determine the distance between the companies. We use hierarchical clustering methods to find the relation among the companies in each window. Next, we obtain a one-dimensional time series of the distances between the clustering trees that reflect the changes in the relationship between the companies in the market over time. The method from statistical process control, namely the Shewhart control chart, is applied to those time series to detect abnormal changes in the financial market.

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监测股票回报的动态网络,并将其应用于瑞典股市
本文介绍了基于皮尔逊相关系数相似性和广义方差分解相似性的两种测量股票收益率距离和网络连通性的方法。利用这两个程序,可以确定网络的中心。此外,我们还使用分层聚类方法将密集网络划分为稀疏树,从而为我们提供金融市场中各公司之间的关系信息。我们将得出的理论结果用于研究瑞典资本市场中公司之间的动态关联性,将 28 家公司纳入市场指数 OMX30 的确定范围。我们采用不同的方法来构建市场的网络结构,以确定公司之间的距离。我们使用分层聚类方法来发现每个窗口中公司之间的关系。然后,我们得到聚类树之间距离的一维时间序列,反映市场中公司之间的关系随时间的变化。将统计过程控制中的方法,即 Shewhart 控制图,应用于这些时间序列,以检测金融市场的异常变化。
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来源期刊
Computational Economics
Computational Economics MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS-
CiteScore
4.00
自引率
15.00%
发文量
119
审稿时长
12 months
期刊介绍: Computational Economics, the official journal of the Society for Computational Economics, presents new research in a rapidly growing multidisciplinary field that uses advanced computing capabilities to understand and solve complex problems from all branches in economics. The topics of Computational Economics include computational methods in econometrics like filtering, bayesian and non-parametric approaches, markov processes and monte carlo simulation; agent based methods, machine learning, evolutionary algorithms, (neural) network modeling; computational aspects of dynamic systems, optimization, optimal control, games, equilibrium modeling; hardware and software developments, modeling languages, interfaces, symbolic processing, distributed and parallel processing
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