To adjust or not to adjust in living systematic reviews? It’s all about the context

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI:10.1016/j.zefq.2024.04.001
Adriani Nikolakopoulou , Guido Schwarzer , Waldemar Siemens
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Abstract

With each update of meta-analyses from living systematic reviews, treatment effects and their confidence intervals are recalculated. This often raises the question whether or not multiplicity is an issue and whether a method to adjust for multiplicity is needed. It seems that answering these questions is not that straightforward. We approach this matter by considering the context of systematic reviews and pointing out existing methods for handling multiplicity in meta-analysis. We conclude that multiplicity is not a relevant issue in living systematic reviews when they are planned with the aim to provide up-to-date evidence, without any direct control on the decision over future research. Multiplicity might be an issue, though, in living systematic reviews designed under a protocol involving a “stopping decision”, which can be the case in living guideline development or in reimbursement decisions. Several appropriate methods exist for handling multiplicity in meta-analysis. Existing methods, however, are also associated with several technical and conceptual limitations, and could be improved in future methodological projects. To better decide whether an adjustment for multiplicity is necessary at all, authors and users of living systematic reviews should be aware of the context of the work and question whether there is a dependency between the effect estimates of the living systematic review and its stopping/updating or an influence on future research.

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生活系统综述中调整还是不调整?关键在于背景。
每次更新在世系统综述的荟萃分析时,都会重新计算治疗效果及其置信区间。这往往会引发一个问题,即多重性是否是一个问题,是否需要一种方法来调整多重性。要回答这些问题似乎并不那么简单。我们从系统综述的背景出发,指出了在荟萃分析中处理多重性的现有方法。我们的结论是,如果系统综述的目的是提供最新证据,对未来研究的决策没有任何直接控制,那么多重性在系统综述中并不是一个相关问题。不过,在根据涉及 "停止决策 "的协议设计的活系统综述中,多重性可能是一个问题,在制定活指南或做出报销决定时可能会出现这种情况。在荟萃分析中,有几种适当的方法可以处理多重性问题。不过,现有方法也存在一些技术和概念上的局限性,可以在未来的方法项目中加以改进。为了更好地决定是否有必要对多重性进行调整,动态系统综述的作者和使用者应了解工作的背景,并质疑动态系统综述的效应估计值与其停止/更新之间是否存在依赖关系,或对未来研究是否有影响。
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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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