The effect of heterogeneous distributions of social norms on the spread of infectious diseases

IF 2.6 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Journal of Physics Complexity Pub Date : 2024-05-12 DOI:10.1088/2632-072x/ad459f
Daniele Vilone, Eva Vriens and Giulia Andrighetto
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Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic, caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus, suddenly erupted in China at the beginning of 2020 and soon spread worldwide. This has resulted in an outstanding increase on research about the virus itself and, more in general, epidemics in many scientific fields. In this work we focus on the dynamics of the epidemic spreading and how it can be affected by the individual variability in compliance with social norms, i.e. in the adoption of preventive social norms by population’s members, which influences the infectivity rate throughout the population and through time. By means of theoretical considerations, we show how such heterogeneities of the infection rate make the population more resistant against the epidemic spreading. Finally, we depict possible empirical tests aimed to confirm our results.
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社会规范的异质分布对传染病传播的影响
2020 年初,由 SARS-CoV-2 病毒引发的 COVID-19 大流行在中国突然爆发,并很快蔓延至全球。这导致许多科学领域对病毒本身以及流行病的研究显著增加。在这项工作中,我们将重点关注疫情传播的动态,以及它如何受到遵守社会规范(即人群成员采用预防性社会规范)方面的个体差异的影响,这种个体差异会随着时间的推移影响整个人群的感染率。通过理论思考,我们展示了感染率的这种异质性如何使人口对流行病的传播更具抵抗力。最后,我们描绘了可能的实证检验,旨在证实我们的结果。
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来源期刊
Journal of Physics Complexity
Journal of Physics Complexity Computer Science-Information Systems
CiteScore
4.30
自引率
11.10%
发文量
45
审稿时长
14 weeks
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