The Impact of Food Security on Economic Growth through Interaction with Poverty Levels

Dwi Sukma Novitasari, Sishadiyati
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Abstract

Food security has a significant impact on economic aspects, poverty levels, and the quality of human resources in a region. Food security issues are something that must be watched out by the East Java Provincial government. The high population and poverty level can cause problems in economic growth in East Java Province. The purpose of the study is to determine how the poverty level can strengthen or weaken the relationship between economic growth and food security as measured from the Food Availability Index, Food Affordability Index, and Food Utilization Index. This research is important because food security not only talks about food consumption for the community but also how food availability, affordability, and utilization can be the basis of sustainable development. The data used are secondary data from the Central Bureau of Statistics of East Java Province and the Indonesian National Food Agency. This research was conducted with a quantitative approach using Moderation Regression Analysis (MRA) method on panel data. The results showed that partially the poverty level can strengthen the influence of the Food Availability Index and Food Utilization Index on economic growth. In this case, the poverty level is classified as quasi-moderation which has a dual role as a moderation variable and an independent variable directly affects economic growth. Meanwhile, the effect of the Food Affordability Index on economic growth is not moderated by the poverty level as a predictor of moderation.
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粮食安全与贫困水平的相互作用对经济增长的影响
粮食安全对一个地区的经济、贫困程度和人力资源质量都有重大影响。粮食安全问题是东爪哇省政府必须关注的问题。高人口和贫困水平会给东爪哇省的经济增长带来问题。本研究的目的是确定贫困水平如何加强或削弱经济增长与粮食安全之间的关系,经济增长与粮食安全之间的关系是通过粮食供应指数、粮食可负担性指数和粮食利用指数来衡量的。这项研究非常重要,因为粮食安全不仅涉及社区的粮食消费,还涉及粮食的可获得性、可负担性和利用率如何成为可持续发展的基础。使用的数据来自东爪哇省中央统计局和印度尼西亚国家粮食局的二手数据。本研究采用面板数据的模态回归分析法(MRA)进行定量分析。结果表明,部分贫困水平可以加强粮食供应指数和粮食利用指数对经济增长的影响。在这种情况下,贫困水平被归类为准调制变量,它具有双重作用,既是调制变量,又是直接影响经济增长的自变量。同时,粮食可负担性指数对经济增长的影响并没有被贫困水平作为缓和的预测变量所缓和。
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