A Remaining Useful Life Prediction Method of Mechanical Equipment Based on Particle Swarm Optimization-Convolutional Neural Network-Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory

Abstract

In industry, forecast prediction and health management (PHM) is used to improve system reliability and efficiency. In PHM, remaining useful life (RUL) prediction plays a key role in preventing machine failures and reducing operating costs, especially for reliability requirements such as critical components in aviation as well as for costly equipment. With the development of deep learning techniques, many RUL prediction methods employ convolutional neural network (CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks and demonstrate superior performance. In this paper, a novel two-stream network based on a bidirectional long short-term memory neural network (BiLSTM) is proposed to establish a two-stage residual life prediction model for mechanical devices using CNN as the feature extractor and BiLSTM as the timing processor, and finally, a particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is used to adjust and optimize the network structural parameters for the initial data. Under the condition of lack of professional knowledge, the adaptive extraction of the features of the data accumulated by the enterprise and the effective processing of a large amount of timing data are achieved. Comparing the prediction results with other models through examples, it shows that the model established in this paper significantly improves the accuracy and efficiency of equipment remaining life prediction.