Topical issues of the formation of an effective economic and social policy in Cambodia

S. Liv, I. V. Tregub, А. S. Fedyunin
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Abstract

Cambodia, currently classified as a lower-middle-income developing country, aspires to reach upper-middle-income status by 2030. To achieve this ambitious goal, the Cambodian government has embraced an open market economic system and prioritized attracting foreign investments as well as encouraging final consumption expenditure (FCE) and stimulating the level of industries, including construction. This study aims to find out the influences of the fluctuations of foreign direct investment (FDI), FCE, and industry (including construction) (IIC) on gross domestic product (GDP) growth in Cambodia and to identify the key factors that can increase FDI, FCE, and IIC growth. The study employs descriptive and correlational analysis, mainly focusing on statistical analyses by constructing an econometric model. The results indicate that Cambodia’s GDP is directly and positively impacted by the FDI, FCE, and IIC, according to the analysis of the specification of the econometric model using a linear mathematical equation. The study concludes that the Cambodian government’s attention to strategic policies and initiatives in promoting FDI, FCE, and IIC, ultimately leading to a higher overall economic growth rate, is crucial. Factors such as political stability and governance, regulation and legal framework, infrastructure, human capital development, market access, publicprivate partnership, fiscal policy, and social protection should be at the forefront of the Cambodian GDP development roadmap.
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柬埔寨制定有效经济和社会政策的专题问题
柬埔寨目前被列为中低收入发展中国家,希望到 2030 年达到中上收入水平。为了实现这一宏伟目标,柬埔寨政府奉行开放的市场经济体制,优先吸引外国投资,鼓励最终消费支出(FCE),刺激包括建筑业在内的产业发展。本研究旨在找出外国直接投资(FDI)、最终消费支出(FCE)和工业(包括建筑业)(IIC)的波动对柬埔寨国内生产总值(GDP)增长的影响,并找出能够提高外国直接投资、最终消费支出和工业(包括建筑业)增长的关键因素。研究采用了描述性分析和相关分析,主要侧重于通过构建计量经济学模型进行统计分析。结果表明,根据使用线性数学方程对计量经济学模型进行的规格分析,柬埔寨的国内生产总值直接受到外国直接投资、外国直接投资和国际投资的积极影响。研究得出结论,柬埔寨政府必须重视促进外国直接投资、外国直接投资和国际投资的战略政策和举措,最终提高整体经济增长率。政治稳定和治理、监管和法律框架、基础设施、人力资本发展、市场准入、公私伙伴关系、财政政策和社会保护等因素应成为柬埔寨国内生产总值发展路线图的首要因素。
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