Dynamic Prediction Model of Financial Asset Volatility Based on Bidirectional Recurrent Neural Networks

IF 4.7 3区 材料科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC ACS Applied Electronic Materials Pub Date : 2024-05-10 DOI:10.4018/joeuc.345925
Ji Liu, Zheng Xu, Ying Yang, Kun Zhou, Munish Kumar
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Predicting financial market volatility is essential for investors and risk management. This study proposes a dynamic prediction model for financial asset volatility, with a Bi-directional Recurrent Neural Network (Bi-RNN) utilized to cleverly address market complexity. Our framework integrates Bi-RNN and gated recurrent units (GRU) to perform global optimization via particle swarm optimization algorithm (PSO). Bi-RNN combines historical data and future expectations, while GRU effectively solves long-term dependency issues through a gating mechanism, which enhances model generalization. Experimental results show that the model exhibits significant performance advantages on different financial datasets, along with strong learning and generalization capabilities superior to traditional methods. This research provides advanced and practical solutions for financial asset fluctuation prediction and is of positive significance for the greater accuracy of investment decisions and risk mitigation.
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基于双向循环神经网络的金融资产波动性动态预测模型
预测金融市场波动对投资者和风险管理至关重要。本研究提出了一种金融资产波动性动态预测模型,利用双向递归神经网络(Bi-RNN)巧妙地解决了市场复杂性问题。我们的框架整合了双向循环神经网络(Bi-RNN)和门控循环单元(GRU),通过粒子群优化算法(PSO)进行全局优化。Bi-RNN 结合了历史数据和未来预期,而 GRU 则通过门控机制有效解决了长期依赖性问题,从而增强了模型的泛化能力。实验结果表明,该模型在不同的金融数据集上表现出显著的性能优势,并具有优于传统方法的强大学习和泛化能力。这项研究为金融资产波动预测提供了先进实用的解决方案,对提高投资决策的准确性和降低风险具有积极意义。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.20
自引率
4.30%
发文量
567
期刊介绍: ACS Applied Electronic Materials is an interdisciplinary journal publishing original research covering all aspects of electronic materials. The journal is devoted to reports of new and original experimental and theoretical research of an applied nature that integrate knowledge in the areas of materials science, engineering, optics, physics, and chemistry into important applications of electronic materials. Sample research topics that span the journal's scope are inorganic, organic, ionic and polymeric materials with properties that include conducting, semiconducting, superconducting, insulating, dielectric, magnetic, optoelectronic, piezoelectric, ferroelectric and thermoelectric. Indexed/​Abstracted: Web of Science SCIE Scopus CAS INSPEC Portico
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