Uncertainty Quantification of Process- Property-Structure Linkage for Fused Filament Fabrication Parts

Yongjie Zhang, Seung Ki Moon
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Abstract

Due to the nature of additive manufacturing (AM), design and manufacturing are deeply coupled. Toolpaths are defined based on the part geometry, and in turn, these toolpaths can influence the bonding between adjacent toolpaths, especially for Fused Filament Fabrication (FFF) process. In FFF, bonding between adjacent rasters is critical to the FFF part mechanical strength. And, the bonding is driven by factors such as thermal history and a deposition strategy which are dictated by the geometry of a part and process parameters. In this research, a data-driven physics-based methodology is proposed to predict the mechanical properties of FFF parts using Bayesian inference. In the proposed methodology, geometry and variance in process parameters are used to quantify uncertainties in the mechanical properties. Empirical data derived from the mesostructure of specimens are utilised to generate priors of predictors. Hamilton Monte Carlo is then used to sample the posterior distribution. Subsequently, random draw from posterior predictive distribution is performed and the results are validated against empirical date to establish the accuracy of the proposed methodology. The proposed methodology can provide more accurate prediction of the mechanical properties by considering the influence of geometry, process parameters and uncertainty in AM process.
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熔融长丝制造部件工艺-属性-结构联系的不确定性量化
由于增材制造(AM)的性质,设计和制造是深度耦合的。工具路径是根据零件的几何形状定义的,反过来,这些工具路径也会影响相邻工具路径之间的粘合,尤其是在熔融长丝制造(FFF)工艺中。在 FFF 中,相邻光栅之间的粘合对于 FFF 零件的机械强度至关重要。而粘合是由热历史和沉积策略等因素驱动的,这些因素由零件的几何形状和工艺参数决定。本研究提出了一种基于数据驱动的物理方法,利用贝叶斯推理预测 FFF 零件的机械性能。在所提出的方法中,几何形状和工艺参数的差异被用来量化机械性能的不确定性。从试样的中间结构得出的经验数据被用来生成预测因子的先验值。然后使用汉密尔顿蒙特卡罗对后验分布进行采样。随后,从后验预测分布中进行随机抽取,并根据经验数据对结果进行验证,以确定所提方法的准确性。考虑到几何形状、工艺参数和 AM 工艺不确定性的影响,所提出的方法可提供更准确的机械性能预测。
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