Pertekliniai įsiskolinimai – finansinės atskirties pranašas

Daiva Skučienė, Viktorija Buržinskaja
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Abstract

The article explores the link between financial exclusion and the problems of social exclusion and the at-risk of poverty and highlights relevance in the context of social policy. The study seeks to analyze the problem of over-indebtedness as a threat to financial exclusion. The purpose of the study is implemented by disclosing the concept and causes of financial exclusion, analyzing over-indebtedness measurement and management. The tendency to over-indebtedness is determined by a whole palette of factors: social, demographic, economic, psychological, behavioral. It examines which groups of society are most likely to face financial difficulties in fulfilling their financial obligations and other household payments and to be over-indebted. Assessing gross debts of households and the scope of over-indebtedness, links with the socio-economic environment and available demographic data of debtors in Lithuanian municipalities are established. Over-indebtedness figures are analyzed using a secondary analysis of the Centre of Registers (database of open bailiffs’ files, 1995–2023), the Official Statistics Portal, and the Employment Service for 2022. The data are analyzed using descriptive statistics, also Pearson correlation and linear regression were performed. The result of the study shows alarming increase in the amount of over-indebtedness in Lithuania. Over-indebtedness arrears are unevenly distributed among the population of different ages. The situation is not homogeneous between large and small municipalities. Results show that in large municipalities there is strong positive link between debts per person, poverty rate and amount of average salary. The problem of financial exclusion, and especially over-indebtedness, requires further extended research and increased attention in the political agenda.
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过度负债是金融排斥的先兆
文章探讨了金融排斥与社会排斥和贫困风险问题之间的联系,并强调了社会政策的相关性。研究试图分析过度负债问题对金融排斥的威胁。通过披露金融排斥的概念和原因、分析过度负债的衡量和管理来实现研究目的。过度负债的倾向是由一系列因素决定的:社会、人口、经济、心理和行为。在评估家庭债务总额和过度负债范围的同时,还确定了与社会经济环境的联系以及立陶宛各城市债务人的现有人口数据。通过对登记中心(1995-2023 年开放的法警档案数据库)、官方统计门户网站和 2022 年就业服务机构的二次分析,对过度负债数字进行了分析。研究结果表明,立陶宛过度负债额的增长速度惊人。过度负债欠款在不同年龄段的人口中分布不均。大城市和小城市的情况也不尽相同。研究结果表明,在大城市中,人均负债、贫困率和平均工资之间存在密切的正向联系。
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