On the benefits of pension plan consolidation: Understanding the impact of full plan mergers

IF 1.5 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Annals of Actuarial Science Pub Date : 2024-05-21 DOI:10.1017/s1748499524000150
Jean‐François Bégin, Barbara Sanders, Wenyuan Zhou
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Abstract

This study investigates the benefits and drawbacks of pension plan consolidation by quantifying the impact of mergers of heterogeneous plans on different stakeholders in a unique Canadian implementation of defined benefit plans. Using a comprehensive framework that combines a realistic economic scenario generator, a stochastic mortality model that captures differences among subpopulations, a cost model with economies of scale, and a dynamic asset allocation methodology, we evaluate the combined effect of asset- and liability-side changes on three groups of measures: plan-related risk measures assessing profits from an economic capital perspective, consumption-based metrics to understand the impact on members, and contribution risk measures capturing the risk from the employer’s viewpoint. We apply the framework to a hypothetical and empirically relevant merger and find that consolidation is favorable under most circumstances: the positive impacts of better diversification and economies of scale continue to outweigh the negative effects of heterogeneity even when the merging plans have different mortality expectations, different maturity levels, or modest differences in initial funded ratios.
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养老金计划合并的好处:了解全面计划合并的影响
本研究通过量化异质计划合并对不同利益相关者的影响,对加拿大独特的福利确定型计划实施过程中养老金计划合并的利弊进行了调查。我们使用了一个综合框架,该框架结合了现实经济情景生成器、可捕捉亚人群差异的随机死亡率模型、具有规模经济效益的成本模型以及动态资产分配方法,我们评估了资产方和负债方变化对三组衡量标准的综合影响:从经济资本角度评估利润的计划相关风险衡量标准、了解对成员影响的基于消费的衡量标准以及从雇主角度捕捉风险的缴费风险衡量标准。我们将该框架应用于一个假定的、与经验相关的合并中,发现合并在大多数情况下都是有利的:更好的多样化和规模经济的积极影响继续大于异质性的消极影响,即使合并后的计划具有不同的死亡率预期、不同的到期水平或初始资金比率的适度差异。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
5.90%
发文量
22
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