Long-term navigation for autonomous robots based on spatio-temporal map prediction

Abstract

The robotics community has witnessed a growing demand for long-term navigation of autonomous robots in diverse environments, including factories, homes, offices, and public places. The core challenge in long-term navigation for autonomous robots lies in effectively adapting to varying degrees of dynamism in the environment. In this paper, we propose a long-term navigation method for autonomous robots based on spatio-temporal map prediction. The time series model is introduced to learn the changing patterns of different environmental structures or objects on multiple time scales based on the historical maps and forecast the future maps for long-term navigation. Then, an improved global path planning algorithm is performed based on the time-variant predicted cost maps. During navigation, the current observations are fused with the predicted map through a modified Bayesian filter to reduce the impact of prediction errors, and the updated map is stored for future predictions. We run simulation and conduct several weeks of experiments in multiple scenarios. The results show that our algorithm is effective and robust for long-term navigation in dynamic environments.