{"title":"A predictive model for HIV-related lymphoma.","authors":"Shuhei Kurosawa, Yukihiro Yoshimura, Yusuke Takada, Takako Yokota, Masaki Hibi, Ayumi Hirahara, Tsutomu Yoshida, So Okubo, Moe Masuda, Yuna So, Nobuyuki Miyata, Hitomi Nakayama, Aki Sakurai, Kosuke Sato, Chisako Ito, Yoshinobu Aisa, Tomonori Nakazato","doi":"10.1097/QAD.0000000000003949","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objectives: </strong>To address the paucity of HIV-related lymphoma (HRL)-specific prognostic scores for the Japanese population by analyzing domestic cases of HRL and constructing a predictive model.</p><p><strong>Design: </strong>A single-center retrospective study coupled with a review of case reports of HRL.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We reviewed all patients with HRL treated at our hospital between 2007 and 2023 and conducted a comprehensive search for case reports of HRL from Japan using public databases. A multivariate analysis for overall survival (OS) was performed using clinical parameters, leading to the formulation of the HIV-Japanese Prognostic Index (HIV-JPI).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 19 patients with HRL were identified in our institution, whereas the literature review yielded 44 cases. In the HIV-JPI, a weighted score of 1 was assigned to the following factors: age at least 45 years, HIV-RNA at least 8.0×10 4 copies/ml, Epstein-Barr virus-encoded small RNA positivity, and Ann Arbor classification stage IV. The overall score ranged from 0 to 4. We defined the low-risk group as scores ranging from 0 to 2 and the high-risk group as scores ranging from 3 to 4. The 3-year OS probability of the high-risk group [30.8%; 95% confidence interval (CI): 9.5-55.4%) was significantly poorer than that of the low-risk group (76.8%; 95% CI: 52.8-89.7%; P < 0.01).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This retrospective analysis established pivotal prognostic factors for HRL in Japanese patients. The HIV-JPI, derived exclusively from Japanese patients, highlights the potential for stratified treatments and emphasizes the need for broader studies to further refine this clinical prediction model.</p>","PeriodicalId":7502,"journal":{"name":"AIDS","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11296280/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"AIDS","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1097/QAD.0000000000003949","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2024/6/24 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"IMMUNOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Objectives: To address the paucity of HIV-related lymphoma (HRL)-specific prognostic scores for the Japanese population by analyzing domestic cases of HRL and constructing a predictive model.
Design: A single-center retrospective study coupled with a review of case reports of HRL.
Methods: We reviewed all patients with HRL treated at our hospital between 2007 and 2023 and conducted a comprehensive search for case reports of HRL from Japan using public databases. A multivariate analysis for overall survival (OS) was performed using clinical parameters, leading to the formulation of the HIV-Japanese Prognostic Index (HIV-JPI).
Results: A total of 19 patients with HRL were identified in our institution, whereas the literature review yielded 44 cases. In the HIV-JPI, a weighted score of 1 was assigned to the following factors: age at least 45 years, HIV-RNA at least 8.0×10 4 copies/ml, Epstein-Barr virus-encoded small RNA positivity, and Ann Arbor classification stage IV. The overall score ranged from 0 to 4. We defined the low-risk group as scores ranging from 0 to 2 and the high-risk group as scores ranging from 3 to 4. The 3-year OS probability of the high-risk group [30.8%; 95% confidence interval (CI): 9.5-55.4%) was significantly poorer than that of the low-risk group (76.8%; 95% CI: 52.8-89.7%; P < 0.01).
Conclusion: This retrospective analysis established pivotal prognostic factors for HRL in Japanese patients. The HIV-JPI, derived exclusively from Japanese patients, highlights the potential for stratified treatments and emphasizes the need for broader studies to further refine this clinical prediction model.
期刊介绍:
Publishing the very latest ground breaking research on HIV and AIDS. Read by all the top clinicians and researchers, AIDS has the highest impact of all AIDS-related journals. With 18 issues per year, AIDS guarantees the authoritative presentation of significant advances. The Editors, themselves noted international experts who know the demands of your work, are committed to making AIDS the most distinguished and innovative journal in the field. Submitted articles undergo a preliminary review by the editor. Some articles may be returned to authors without further consideration. Those being considered for publication will undergo further assessment and peer-review by the editors and those invited to do so from a reviewer pool.