A Geometric Approach to Asset Allocation with Investor Views

Alexandre Antonov, Koushik Balasubramanian, Alex Lipton, Marcos Lopez de Prado
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Abstract

In this article, a geometric approach to incorporating investor views in portfolio construction is presented. In particular, the proposed approach utilizes the notion of generalized Wasserstein barycenter (GWB) to combine the statistical information about asset returns with investor views to obtain an updated estimate of the asset drifts and covariance, which are then fed into a mean-variance optimizer as inputs. Quantitative comparisons of the proposed geometric approach with the conventional Black-Litterman model (and a closely related variant) are presented. The proposed geometric approach provides investors with more flexibility in specifying their confidence in their views than conventional Black-Litterman model-based approaches. The geometric approach also rewards the investors more for making correct decisions than conventional BL based approaches. We provide empirical and theoretical justifications for our claim.
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资产配置的几何方法与投资者观点
本文提出了一种将投资者观点纳入投资组合构建的几何方法。具体而言,所提出的方法利用广义瓦瑟斯坦双曲中心(GWB)的概念,将资产收益的统计信息与投资者的观点相结合,从而获得资产漂移和协方差的最新估计值,然后将其作为输入输入均值方差优化器。本文对拟议的几何方法与传统的布莱克-利特曼模型(以及一个密切相关的变体)进行了定量比较。与基于 Black-Litterman 模型的传统方法相比,拟议的几何方法在指定投资者对其观点的信心方面为投资者提供了更大的灵活性。与传统的基于 Black-Litterman 模型的方法相比,几何方法还能为做出正确决策的投资者提供更多奖励。我们为我们的主张提供了经验和理论依据。
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