Well-defined survival outcome disparity across age cutoffs at 45 and 60 for medullary thyroid carcinoma: a long-term retrospective cohort study of 3601 patients

Kun Zhang, Xinyi Wang, T. Wei, Zhihui Li, Jingqiang Zhu, Ya-Wen Chen
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Abstract

Medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) is a challenging malignancy. The survival outcome of MTC based on AJCC staging system does not render a discriminant classifier among early stages.3601 MTC patients from 2000 to 2018 were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Smooth curve fitting, Cox proportional hazard regression and competing risk analysis were applied.A linear correlation between age and log RR (relative risk of overall death) was detected. Overlaps were observed between K-M curves representing patients aged 45–50, 50–55, and 55–60. The study cohort was divided into 3 subgroups with 2 age cutoffs set at 45 and 60. Each further advanced age cutoff population resulted in a roughly “5%” increase in MTC-specific death risks and an approximately “3 times” increase in non-MTC-specific death risks.The survival outcome disparity across age cutoffs at 45 and 60 for MTC has been well defined.
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甲状腺髓样癌在 45 岁和 60 岁这两个年龄分界线上的明确生存结果差异:对 3601 名患者进行的长期回顾性队列研究
甲状腺髓样癌(MTC)是一种具有挑战性的恶性肿瘤。根据AJCC分期系统得出的MTC生存结果并不能对早期分期进行判别。应用平滑曲线拟合、Cox比例危险回归和竞争风险分析,发现年龄与对数RR(总体死亡相对风险)之间存在线性相关。在代表 45-50 岁、50-55 岁和 55-60 岁患者的 K-M 曲线之间发现了重叠。研究队列分为 3 个亚组,两个年龄分界线分别为 45 岁和 60 岁。年龄临界值每增加一个,MTC 特异性死亡风险就会增加约 "5%",而非 MTC 特异性死亡风险则会增加约 "3 倍"。
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