The Impact of Climatic Warming on Earlier Wine-Grape Ripening in Northeastern Slovenia

S. Vršič, B. Pulko, Tadeja Vodovnik-Plevnik, Andrej Perko
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Abstract

In this study, the development trends of bioclimatic parameters recorded at the Maribor and Murska Sobota climate stations from 1952 to 2022 and the dynamics of grape ripening in early-, medium-, and late-ripening grape varieties in the Podravje wine-growing region in Slovenia (north-eastern Slovenia) from 1980 to 2022 were investigated. Based on the data on soluble solids content, total acidity, and the recommended harvest date per year (until the technological ripeness of the grapes; 76°Oe), trends for shortening the growing period of the vines were calculated. Temperature changes have been more pronounced since 1980. The number of so-called hot days (with a maximum of T > 30 °C) has increased the most, which has the greatest impact on other bioclimatic parameters, e.g., the average temperature and growing degree days (GDDs) and the Huglin index (HI). For the period of 1980 to 2022, the trends were 0.44 °C (Murska Sobota) and 0.51 °C (Maribor) per decade, respectively. The trends were more pronounced for the average temperature in the period of May–June (TMJ). After 1980, the HI increased by about 10 units per year. As a result of the climate warming, grapes in north-eastern Slovenia ripened 26 (‘Sauvignon Blanc’) to 35 (‘Welschriesling’) days earlier. The trends showed a decrease in total acidity, which can be attributed to the higher temperatures during the growing season period, especially during the ripening period of the grapes (véraison). After 2010, the average temperatures during the growing season (1 April to 31 October) in Podravje were 1.6 °C higher than in the 1980s. In line with the earlier ripening of the grapes, the actual average temperature from 1 April to the harvest date was a further 1.0 °C higher. The higher temperatures in the late-ripening varieties ‘Riesling’ and ‘Furmint’ had a positive effect on the lower total acidity. Total annual precipitation and precipitation in the growing season for the period 1980 to 2022 in the Maribor area show decreasing trends of 6 mm/m2 (p = 0.001) and 4 mm/m2 (p = 0.012), respectively. In the eastern sub-wine-growing region of Podravje (Murska Sobota), the trends in precipitation were not significant.
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气候变暖对斯洛文尼亚东北部酿酒葡萄提早成熟的影响
本研究调查了 1952 年至 2022 年马里博尔和穆尔斯卡索博塔气候站记录的生物气候参数的发展趋势,以及 1980 年至 2022 年斯洛文尼亚(斯洛文尼亚东北部)波德拉维耶葡萄种植区早熟、中熟和晚熟葡萄品种的成熟动态。根据可溶性固形物含量、总酸度和每年建议采收日期(直到葡萄技术成熟;76°Oe)的数据,计算了葡萄生长期缩短的趋势。自 1980 年以来,气温变化更加明显。所谓的高温日(最高温度大于 30 °C)数量增加最多,这对其他生物气候参数,如平均温度、生长度日(GDDs)和休林指数(HI)的影响最大。1980 年至 2022 年期间,每十年的变化趋势分别为 0.44 °C(穆尔斯卡索博塔)和 0.51 °C(马里博尔)。5 月至 6 月(TMJ)期间的平均气温变化趋势更为明显。1980 年后,HI 每年增加约 10 个单位。由于气候变暖,斯洛文尼亚东北部的葡萄成熟期提前了 26 天("长相思")至 35 天("韦尔施雷司令")。从趋势上看,总酸度有所下降,这可归因于葡萄生长期,尤其是葡萄成熟期(葡萄成熟期)的气温升高。2010 年之后,波德拉涅葡萄生长季节(4 月 1 日至 10 月 31 日)的平均气温比 20 世纪 80 年代高 1.6 °C。由于葡萄提前成熟,从 4 月 1 日到收获日的实际平均气温又高出 1.0 °C。晚熟品种 "雷司令 "和 "芙美特 "的气温较高,对降低总酸度起到了积极作用。1980 年至 2022 年期间,马里博尔地区的年总降水量和生长季节降水量呈下降趋势,分别为 6 毫米/平方米(p = 0.001)和 4 毫米/平方米(p = 0.012)。在 Podravje 东部副产区(Murska Sobota),降水量的趋势并不显著。
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