Impact of Economic Factors on the Process of Population Transition from Labour Activity to Pension in the Republic of Moldova

Galina Savelieva, S. Zaharov
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Abstract

Abstract The purpose of research is to analyse the impact of population ageing process on labour force market, as well as economic factors on the transition from labour activity to pension in the Republic of Moldova. The change in the structure of labour force to wards elder ages, as well as interruption of active economic activity and retirement is one of the factors in economic growth slowdown, which is conditioned by a reduction of labour force reproduction and its growth. In this situation, in order to mitigate the negative consequences of labour force deficit, it is necessary to take effective measures to increase labour productivity not only to ensure economic growth, but also to ensure the welfare of the country’s population and meet the necessities of an increased share of the population-dependents (both the elderly population and children under 15). Taking into account the relevance of the above-mentioned problem, the analysis of the relationship between economic factors and the transition from labour activity to pension in the conditions of demographic ageing was carried out, including the evaluation of the role of economic factors in making a decision to exit from the labour market to pension. In this context, the comparative quantitative and qualitative analysis of tendencies in the economically active and employed population was carried out, including pre- and pension ages and the phenomenon of precarious employment, the demographic coefficient of dependence on old age, the dependence of pension from the income level, and the financial stability of the Social Insurance Budget. The proposals to improve the effectiveness of government policies in regulation and harmonization the transition from the labour market to pension, including the continuation of active economic activity was elaborated in order to reduce the negative consequences connected with the process of population ageing and to ensure the stability of labour market development. The article is developed in the framework of the research Subprogramme “The demographic transition in the Republic of Moldova: particularities, socioeconomic implications and demographic resilience straightening” (2024-2027).
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经济因素对摩尔多瓦共和国人口从劳动活动向养老金过渡进程的影响
摘要 本研究旨在分析人口老龄化进程对劳动力市场的影响,以及摩尔多瓦共和国从劳动活动向养老金过渡的经济因素。劳动力结构向高龄化转变以及积极经济活动的中断和退休是经济增长放缓的因素之一,而经济增长放缓的条件是劳动力再生产及其增长的减少。在这种情况下,为了减轻劳动力不足的负面影响,有必要采取有效措施提高劳动生产率,这 不仅是为了确保经济增长,也是为了确保国家人口的福利,满足受抚养人口(老年人口和 15 岁以 下儿童)比例增加的需要。考虑到上述问题的相关性,对经济因素与人口老龄化条件下从劳动活动向养老金过渡之间 的关系进行了分析,包括评估经济因素在决定从劳动力市场退出到养老金方面的作用。在此背景下,对从事经济活动人口和就业人口的趋势进行了定量和定性比较分析,包括领取养老金前的年龄和领取养老金后的年龄、不稳定就业现象、依赖养老金的人口系数、养老金与收入水平的关系以及社会保险预算的财务稳定性。为了减少与人口老龄化进程相关的负面影响并确保劳动力市场发展的稳定性,本文提出了提高政府政策在调节和协调从劳动力市场向养老金过渡方面的有效性的建议,包括继续开展积极的经济活动。本文是在 "摩尔多瓦共和国人口结构转型:特殊性、社会经济影响和人口恢复力调整" (2024-2027 年)研究次级方案框架内撰写的。
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