Serum lipid ratios as novel prognostic biomarkers for patients with locally advanced breast cancer treated with neoadjuvant therapy.

Abstract

Objectives: To investigate the association between lipid ratios and survival outcomes in patients with locally advanced breast cancer (LABC) undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

Method: This retrospective study included patients with LABC receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Serum lipid levels were prospectively measured at baseline. Associations of triglyceride to total cholesterol (TG/TC), triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein (TG/HDL) and triglyceride to low-density lipoprotein (TG/LDL) ratios with prognosis were evaluated.

Results: Patients with high TG/TC (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 2.47, 95% CI: 1.10, 5.56, p = 0.029), TG/HDL (aHR = 2.73, 95% CI: 1.16, 6.41, p = 0.021) and TG/LDL (aHR = 2.50, 95% CI: 1.11, 5.65, p = 0.027) ratios were more likely to experience disease-free survival (DFS) events. Subgroup analysis suggested that the prognostic impact of lipid ratios was more pronounced in patients with negative HER2 status or those at a high risk of recurrence (e.g. clinical stage III, Ki67 > 30%). Additionally, higher lipid ratios tended to indicate early DFS events (0 ~ 2 years) (TG/TC p = 0.021, TG/HDL p = 0.046, TG/LDL p < 0.001), and the TG/LDL ratio demonstrated the best predictive efficacy (TG/TC vs. TG/HDL vs. TG/LDL, 1-year AUC: 0.724 vs. 0.676 vs. 0.846, 2-year AUC: 0.653 vs. 0.638 vs. 0.708).

Conclusion: Baseline serum TG/TC, TG/HDL and TG/LDL ratios were independent prognostic factors in patients with LABC undergoing neoadjuvant therapy. However, their utility in predicting the early DFS events warrants further investigation.

Clinical trial registration: NCT05621564.