School-Age Talent Identification in Female Handball by a Mathematical Model: Equation Proposed from Anthropometry, Maturity Offset, Fitness and Technical Field-Tests.

Guilherme Caporal, Adroaldo C A Gaya, Augusto Pedretti, Júlio B Mello
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Abstract

The present study aimed to identify parameters that best discriminate between high-level and scholar-level players for the Brazilian 13-14-year-old girl's handball and propose a mathematical model to identify sports talent for handball. The sample was made up of all available handball players comprising these two groups: 100 girls who participated in the high-level handball championship in Brazil and 53 girls (age 13-14 years) as finalists of the school-level games in one region of Brazil. We assess the anthropometric profile, maturity offset, physical fitness, and technical skills for handball. To propose the equation, the Discriminant Function Analysis method was used. The discriminant function was significant (p ≤ .05), had a good canonical correlation (0.590), and still had an average Wilk Lambda (0.652). The variables considered in the talent identification model included: 1. flexibility, 2. abdominal strength, 3. lower limbs muscle power, 4. agility, 5. defensive movement and 6. slalom with ball. The values from the equation for identifying school-age athletes with high motor skills and performance for handball can be classified by a cutoff point (Y = 0.192). The results showed that the mathematical-model obtained was able to select school-age athletes with high motor skills for handball, and with the profile for participation in high-level championships.

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通过数学模型识别女子手球的学龄人才:根据人体测量、成熟度偏移、体能和技术现场测试提出的方程。
本研究旨在确定最能区分巴西 13-14 岁女子手球高水平运动员和学者水平运动员的参数,并提出一个识别手球运动人才的数学模型。样本由所有手球运动员组成,包括这两个群体:100 名参加巴西高水平手球锦标赛的女孩和 53 名参加巴西一个地区校级比赛决赛的女孩(13-14 岁)。我们对手球运动员的人体测量特征、成熟度偏移、体能和技术技能进行了评估。为了提出方程,我们使用了判别函数分析法。判别函数显著(p ≤ .05),具有良好的典型相关性(0.590),平均 Wilk Lambda(0.652)。人才识别模型中考虑的变量包括1.柔韧性;2.腹部力量;3.下肢肌肉力量;4.敏捷性;5.防守动作;6.带球回旋。从公式中得出的数值可以通过一个分界点(Y = 0.192)来对具有高运动技能和手球运动表现的学龄运动员进行鉴定。结果表明,所获得的数学模型能够选拔出手球运动技能高且具备参加高水平锦标赛条件的学龄运动员。
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