Assessing the Validity of Two Non-Exercise Regression Equations for Predicting Maximal Oxygen Consumption.

Mahmoud Nikseresht, Carlo Castagna, Mehdi Nikseresht
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Abstract

Purpose: This study aimed to develop two regression equations to predict maximal oxygen consumption (VO2max) using non-exercise data from a substantial cohort of healthy Iranian adult males. Additionally, this study sought to examine the predictive accuracy of these equations across four different levels of physical activity. Methods: A total of 126 participants (age: 34.9 ± 11.3 years, body mass index [BMI]: 24.9 ± 2.7 kg/m², and body fat percentage [BF%]: 18.3 ± 4.9) completed a maximal graded exercise test to measure VO2max, with a mean of 45.0 ± 3.4 ml.kg-1.min-1. Participants also provided information on age, current physical activity rating (PA-R), and either BMI or BF% to estimate VO2max using Jackson and colleagues' regression equations. The PA-R was assessed via a standardized questionnaire and categorized into four levels: sedentary, low, moderate, and high. Results: The key findings from this study indicate that both original models significantly underestimated actual VO2max in a large cohort of Iranian adults (both, p < .001 and mean differences exceeding 2.19 ml.kg-1.min-1). Nevertheless, these models provided accurate predictions for VO2max among individuals with moderate levels of physical activity (both, p > .08 and mean differences between 0.51 and 1.03 ml.kg-1.min-1). Furthermore, the models demonstrated moderate validity, as evidenced by an intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) of 0.841 and a coefficient of variation averaging 10.9%, with a range from 8.5% to 13.6%. Conclusions: While Jackson's two non-exercise models showed limited accuracy in predicting VO2max among Iranian healthy male adults, they exhibited reasonable precision, particularly among moderately active men.

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评估用于预测最大耗氧量的两个非运动回归方程的有效性。
目的:本研究旨在利用大量伊朗健康成年男性的非运动数据,建立两个预测最大耗氧量(VO2max)的回归方程。此外,本研究还试图检验这些方程在四种不同运动水平下的预测准确性。研究方法共有 126 名参与者(年龄:34.9 ± 11.3 岁,体重指数 [BMI]:24.9 ± 2.7 kg/m²,体脂率 [BF%]:18.3 ± 4.9)参加了此次研究:18.3 ± 4.9)完成了最大分级运动测试,以测量 VO2max,平均值为 45.0 ± 3.4 ml.kg-1.min-1。参与者还提供了年龄、当前体力活动评分(PA-R)、体重指数(BMI)或体脂率(BF%)等信息,以便使用杰克逊及其同事的回归方程估算最大氧饱和度。PA-R通过标准化问卷进行评估,并分为四个等级:久坐、低度、中度和高度。研究结果本研究的主要结果表明,两个原始模型都明显低估了一大批伊朗成年人的实际 VO2max(均为 p-1.min-1)。尽管如此,这些模型仍能准确预测中等运动量人群的最大氧饱和度(两者的 p 均大于 0.08,平均差介于 0.51 和 1.03 ml.kg-1.min-1 之间)。此外,这些模型还显示出中等程度的有效性,如类内相关系数(ICC)为 0.841,变异系数平均为 10.9%,范围在 8.5% 到 13.6% 之间。结论:虽然杰克逊的两个非运动模型在预测伊朗健康男性成年人的最大氧饱和度方面显示出有限的准确性,但它们表现出合理的精确性,尤其是在中等运动量的男性中。
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