Modeling a Financial System with Memory via Fractional Calculus and Fractional Brownian Motion

Patrick Geraghty
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Abstract

Financial markets have long since been modeled using stochastic methods such as Brownian motion, and more recently, rough volatility models have been built using fractional Brownian motion. This fractional aspect brings memory into the system. In this project, we describe and analyze a financial model based on the fractional Langevin equation with colored noise generated by fractional Brownian motion. Physics-based methods of analysis are used to examine the phase behavior and dispersion relations of the system upon varying input parameters. A type of anomalous marginal glass phase is potentially seen in some regions, which motivates further exploration of this model and expanded use of phase behavior and dispersion relation methods to analyze financial models.
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通过分数微积分和分数布朗运动模拟有记忆的金融系统
长期以来,金融市场一直使用随机方法(如布朗运动)来建模,最近,人们又利用分 子布朗运动建立了粗略波动模型。这种分数运动为系统带来了记忆。在本项目中,我们描述并分析了一个基于分式朗文方程的金融模型,该模型带有由分式布朗运动产生的彩色噪声。我们采用了基于物理学的分析方法来研究输入参数变化时系统的相位行为和分散关系。在某些区域可能会出现一种反常的边缘玻璃相,这促使我们进一步探索这一模型,并扩大使用相行为和分散关系方法来分析金融模型。
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