Knowledge-based structural change

IF 1.2 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Economic Theory Pub Date : 2024-06-19 DOI:10.1007/s00199-024-01587-4
Kevin Genna, Christian Ghiglino, Kazuo Nishimura, Alain Venditti
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Abstract

How will structural change unfold beyond the rise of services? Motivated by the observed dynamics within the service sector we propose a model of structural change in which productivity is endogenous and output is produced with two intermediate substitutable capital goods. In the productive sector the accumulation of specialized skills leads to an unbounded increase in TFP, as sector becoming asymptotically dominant. We are then able to recover the increasing shares of workers, the increasing real and nominal shares of the output observed in productive service and IT sectors in the US. Interestingly, the economy follows a growth path converging to a particular level of wealth that depends on the initial price of capital and knowledge. As a consequence, countries with the same fundamentals but lower initial wealth will be characterized by lower asymptotic wealth.

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以知识为基础的结构变革
在服务业崛起之后,结构变革将如何发展?在观察到的服务业动态的推动下,我们提出了一个结构变化模型,在这个模型中,生产率是内生的,产出是由两种可替代的中间资本品生产的。在生产部门,专业技能的积累会导致全要素生产率的无限制增长,并逐渐成为主导部门。这样,我们就能恢复在美国生产性服务部门和信息技术部门观察到的工人份额不断增加、产出的实际份额和名义份额不断增加的现象。有趣的是,经济的增长路径趋同于取决于资本和知识初始价格的特定财富水平。因此,基本面相同但初始财富较低的国家,其渐近财富水平也会较低。
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来源期刊
Economic Theory
Economic Theory ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
23.10%
发文量
68
期刊介绍: The purpose of Economic Theory is to provide an outlet for research - in all areas of economics based on rigorous theoretical reasoning, and - on specific topics in mathematics which is motivated by the analysis of economic problems. Economic Theory''s scope encompasses - but is not limited to - the following fields. - classical and modern equilibrium theory - cooperative and non-cooperative game theory - macroeconomics - social choice and welfare - uncertainty and information, intertemporal economics (including dynamical systems) - public economics - international and developmental economics - financial economics, money and banking - industrial organization Economic Theory also publishes surveys if they clearly picture the basic ideas at work in some areas, the essential technical apparatus which is used and the central questions which remain open. The development of a productive dialectic between stylized facts and abstract formulations requires that economic relevance be at the forefront. Thus, correct, and innovative, mathematical analysis is not enough; it must be motivated by - and contribute to - the understanding of substantive economic problems. Officially cited as: Econ Theory
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