Analyzing Agricultural Land Use with Cellular Automata-MARCOV and Forecasting Future Marine Water Quality Index: A Case Study in East Coast Peninsular Malaysia

IF 3.8 4区环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Water, Air, & Soil Pollution Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI:10.1007/s11270-024-07277-0

Mohd Saiful Samsudin, Azman Azid, Muhammad Amar Zaudi, Mohd Ridhwan Adam, Muhamad Shirwan Abdullah Sani, Shazlyn Millenana Saharuddin, Aminu Ibrahim, Mohd Fahmi Mohd Nasir, Mou Leong Tan, Nurul Izzati Mohd Ali

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Abstract

The land use/land cover pattern of a region is an outcome of natural and socioeconomic factors and the utilisation by humans in time and space. This study aims to model the marine water quality using the relative impact of land use on marine water quality of selected river estuary between 2006-2013, Geographical Information System (GIS) and Cellular Automata (CA)-Markov method as a planning tool in evaluating Marine Water Quality Index (MWQI) were applied. The CA-Markov model revealed agricultural land use changes from 2006-2013 using land use land cover (LULC) in GIS as Setiu and Semerak River basins have 5.72% and 2.75%, respectively. The result indicated the impact of agricultural lands on MWQI, which is very low, according to projections of land use in 2020. Thus, the MWQI value in 2020 (Setiu 76.27 and Semerak 67.64) will be higher than MWQI mean value for 2006-2013.

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利用细胞自动机-MARCOV 分析农业用地并预测未来海洋水质指数：马来西亚东海岸半岛案例研究

一个地区的土地利用/土地覆盖模式是自然和社会经济因素以及人类在时间和空间上利用的结果。本研究旨在利用 2006-2013 年间土地利用对选定河口海洋水质的相对影响建立海洋水质模型，并采用地理信息系统（GIS）和细胞自动机（CA）-马尔可夫法作为评估海洋水质指数（MWQI）的规划工具。CA-Markov 模型利用地理信息系统中的土地利用土地覆被 (LULC) 显示了 2006-2013 年期间农业用地的变化，塞蒂乌河流域和森美拉克河流域分别占 5.72% 和 2.75%。结果表明，根据对 2020 年土地利用的预测，农业用地对 MWQI 的影响非常小。因此，2020 年的 MWQI 值（Setiu 河 76.27，Semerak 河 67.64）将高于 2006-2013 年的 MWQI 平均值。

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来源期刊

Water, Air, & Soil Pollution 环境科学-环境科学

CiteScore

4.50

自引率

6.90%

发文量

448

审稿时长

2.6 months

期刊介绍： Water, Air, & Soil Pollution is an international, interdisciplinary journal on all aspects of pollution and solutions to pollution in the biosphere. This includes chemical, physical and biological processes affecting flora, fauna, water, air and soil in relation to environmental pollution. Because of its scope, the subject areas are diverse and include all aspects of pollution sources, transport, deposition, accumulation, acid precipitation, atmospheric pollution, metals, aquatic pollution including marine pollution and ground water, waste water, pesticides, soil pollution, sewage, sediment pollution, forestry pollution, effects of pollutants on humans, vegetation, fish, aquatic species, micro-organisms, and animals, environmental and molecular toxicology applied to pollution research, biosensors, global and climate change, ecological implications of pollution and pollution models. Water, Air, & Soil Pollution also publishes manuscripts on novel methods used in the study of environmental pollutants, environmental toxicology, environmental biology, novel environmental engineering related to pollution, biodiversity as influenced by pollution, novel environmental biotechnology as applied to pollution (e.g. bioremediation), environmental modelling and biorestoration of polluted environments. Articles should not be submitted that are of local interest only and do not advance international knowledge in environmental pollution and solutions to pollution. Articles that simply replicate known knowledge or techniques while researching a local pollution problem will normally be rejected without review. Submitted articles must have up-to-date references, employ the correct experimental replication and statistical analysis, where needed and contain a significant contribution to new knowledge. The publishing and editorial team sincerely appreciate your cooperation. Water, Air, & Soil Pollution publishes research papers; review articles; mini-reviews; and book reviews.