“Racial mortality inversion”: Black-white disparities in mortality among people experiencing homelessness in the United States

Abstract

Disparities in mortality between Black and White people have long been observed. These disparities persist at all income levels. However, similar patterns in racial mortality disparities are not observed among people experiencing homelessness. Instead, studies in a handful of cities show a reversal in the Black-White mortality disparity in the United States: Black people experiencing homelessness are less likely to die compared to White people experiencing homelessness. We propose a theory of “racial mortality inversion” and test whether inverted Black-White mortality patterns are observable in homeless populations throughout the United States. Using a novel dataset of 18,618 homeless decedents in 20 localities across 10 states and the District of Columbia, we find consistent evidence for “racial mortality inversion” across time and place. Between 2015 and 2020, the aggregate White homeless mortality rate was 67.8%–138.4% higher than the rate for the Black homeless population. Inverted racial mortality rates were observed in all 20 localities and in nearly every year. Across the entire sample, higher average ages of death were also observed for Black people compared to White people experiencing homelessness in 5 of 6 years, though racial inversion in age was not consistent across localities. These findings offer novel insight into racial health disparities among people experiencing homelessness and may inform policies and programs that seek to prevent homelessness and homeless mortality across racial groups.