A data-driven robust optimization method based on scenario clustering for PVC production scheduling under uncertainty

Abstract

In this paper, a data-driven robust optimization method based on scenario clustering is proposed for addressing energy consumption uncertainty characterized by correlation and multi-peaked distribution within the PVC production process. Firstly, principal component analysis (PCA) and kernel density estimation (KDE) methods are used to capture the correlation and distribution information effectively across multidimensional uncertain parameters; then a modified K-means clustering method based on density peaks is applied to cluster energy consumption scenarios and the flexible uncertainty subsets is established. A two-stage robust optimization model for the vinyl chloride production section is then proposed, and the column and constraint generation algorithm is applied to solved. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed method is validated through a PVC production case study. Comparative results demonstrate that the proposed model reduces energy consumption under uncertainty and improves the robustness of PVC production scheduling.