Advances in Deep Learning Techniques for Short-term Energy Load Forecasting Applications: A Review

IF 9.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Archives of Computational Methods in Engineering Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI:10.1007/s11831-024-10155-x
Radhika Chandrasekaran, Senthil Kumar Paramasivan
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Abstract

Today, the majority of the leading power companies place a significant emphasis on forecasting the electricity load in the balance of power and administration. Meanwhile, since electricity is an integral component of every person’s contemporary life, energy load forecasting is necessary to afford the energy demand required. The expansion of the electrical infrastructure is a key factor in increasing sustainable economic growth, and the planning and control of the utility power system rely on accurate load forecasting. Due to uncertainty in energy utilization, forecasting is turning into a complex task, and it makes an impact on applications that include energy scheduling and management, price forecasting, etc. The statistical methods involving time series for regression analysis and machine learning techniques have been used in energy load forecasting extensively over the last few decades to precisely predict future energy demands. However, they have some drawbacks with limited model flexibility, generalization, and overfitting. Deep learning addresses the issues of handling unstructured and unlabeled data, automatic feature learning, non-linear model flexibility, the ability to handle high-dimensional data, and simultaneous computation using GPUs efficiently. This paper investigates factors influencing energy load forecasting, then discusses the most commonly used deep learning approaches in energy load forecasting, as well as evaluation metrics to evaluate the performance of the model, followed by bio-inspired algorithms to optimize the model, and other advanced technologies for energy load forecasting. This study discusses the research findings, challenges, and opportunities in energy load forecasting.

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深度学习技术在短期能源负荷预测应用中的进展:综述
如今,大多数领先的电力公司都非常重视电力负荷预测,以平衡电力和行政管理。同时,由于电力是每个人当代生活中不可或缺的组成部分,因此必须进行能源负荷预测,以负担所需的能源需求。电力基础设施的扩建是提高经济可持续增长的关键因素,而公用事业电力系统的规划和控制则有赖于准确的负荷预测。由于能源利用的不确定性,预测正在成为一项复杂的任务,并对能源调度和管理、价格预测等应用产生影响。在过去几十年里,能源负荷预测中广泛使用了时间序列回归分析统计方法和机器学习技术,以精确预测未来的能源需求。然而,它们也存在一些缺点,如模型灵活性、泛化和过度拟合能力有限。深度学习解决了处理非结构化和无标记数据、自动特征学习、非线性模型灵活性、处理高维数据的能力以及使用 GPU 高效地同步计算等问题。本文研究了影响能源负荷预测的因素,然后讨论了能源负荷预测中最常用的深度学习方法,以及评估模型性能的评价指标,接着介绍了优化模型的生物启发算法,以及其他用于能源负荷预测的先进技术。本研究讨论了能源负荷预测的研究成果、挑战和机遇。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
19.80
自引率
4.10%
发文量
153
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Archives of Computational Methods in Engineering Aim and Scope: Archives of Computational Methods in Engineering serves as an active forum for disseminating research and advanced practices in computational engineering, particularly focusing on mechanics and related fields. The journal emphasizes extended state-of-the-art reviews in selected areas, a unique feature of its publication. Review Format: Reviews published in the journal offer: A survey of current literature Critical exposition of topics in their full complexity By organizing the information in this manner, readers can quickly grasp the focus, coverage, and unique features of the Archives of Computational Methods in Engineering.
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