Enabling business sustainability for stock market data using machine learning and deep learning approaches

IF 4.4 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Annals of Operations Research Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI:10.1007/s10479-024-06118-x
S. Divyashree, Christy Jackson Joshua, Abdul Quadir Md, Senthilkumar Mohan, A. Sheik Abdullah, Ummul Hanan Mohamad, Nisreen Innab, Ali Ahmadian
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Abstract

This paper introduces AlphaVision, an innovative decision support model designed for stock price prediction by seamlessly integrating real-time news updates and Return on Investment (ROI) values, utilizing various machine learning and deep learning approaches. The research investigates the application of these techniques to enhance the effectiveness of stock trading and investment decisions by accurately anticipating stock prices and providing valuable insights to investors and businesses. The study begins by analyzing the complexities and challenges of stock market analysis, considering factors like political, macroeconomic, and legal issues that contribute to market volatility. To address these challenges, we proposed the methodology called AlphaVision, which incorporates various machine learning algorithms, including Decision Trees, Random Forest, Naïve Bayes, Boosting, K-Nearest Neighbors, and Support Vector Machine, alongside deep learning models such as Multi-layer Perceptron (MLP), Artificial Neural Networks, and Recurrent Neural Networks. The effectiveness of each model is evaluated based on their accuracy in predicting stock prices. Experimental results revealed that the MLP model achieved the highest accuracy of approximately 92%, outperforming other deep learning models. The Random Forest algorithm also demonstrated promising results with an accuracy of around 84.6%. These findings indicate the potential of machine learning and deep learning techniques in improving stock market analysis and prediction. The AlphaVision methodology presented in this research empowers investors and businesses with valuable tools to make informed investment decisions and navigate the complexities of the stock market. By accurately forecasting stock prices based on news updates and ROI values, the model contributes to better financial management and business sustainability. The integration of machine learning and deep learning approaches offers a promising solution for enhancing stock market analysis and prediction. Future research will focus on extracting more relevant financial features to further improve the model’s accuracy. By advancing decision support models for stock price prediction, researchers and practitioners can foster better investment strategies and foster economic growth. The proposed model holds potential to revolutionize stock trading and investment practices, enabling more informed and profitable decision-making in the financial sector.

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利用机器学习和深度学习方法实现股市数据的业务可持续性
本文介绍了 AlphaVision,这是一种创新的决策支持模型,利用各种机器学习和深度学习方法,通过无缝集成实时新闻更新和投资回报率(ROI)值来预测股票价格。研究探讨了这些技术的应用,通过准确预测股票价格,为投资者和企业提供有价值的见解,从而提高股票交易和投资决策的有效性。研究首先分析了股市分析的复杂性和挑战,考虑了导致市场波动的政治、宏观经济和法律问题等因素。为了应对这些挑战,我们提出了名为 AlphaVision 的方法,该方法结合了各种机器学习算法,包括决策树、随机森林、奈夫贝叶斯、提升、K-近邻和支持向量机,以及多层感知器(MLP)、人工神经网络和循环神经网络等深度学习模型。根据每个模型预测股票价格的准确性来评估其有效性。实验结果显示,MLP 模型的准确率最高,约为 92%,优于其他深度学习模型。随机森林算法也取得了可喜的成果,准确率约为 84.6%。这些研究结果表明了机器学习和深度学习技术在改进股市分析和预测方面的潜力。本研究中介绍的 AlphaVision 方法为投资者和企业提供了宝贵的工具,帮助他们做出明智的投资决策,驾驭复杂的股票市场。通过根据新闻更新和投资回报率值准确预测股票价格,该模型有助于改善财务管理和企业可持续性。机器学习和深度学习方法的整合为加强股市分析和预测提供了一个前景广阔的解决方案。未来的研究将侧重于提取更多相关的金融特征,以进一步提高模型的准确性。通过推进股票价格预测的决策支持模型,研究人员和从业人员可以制定更好的投资策略,促进经济增长。所提出的模型有望彻底改变股票交易和投资实践,使金融领域的决策更明智、更有利可图。
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来源期刊
Annals of Operations Research
Annals of Operations Research 管理科学-运筹学与管理科学
CiteScore
7.90
自引率
16.70%
发文量
596
审稿时长
8.4 months
期刊介绍: The Annals of Operations Research publishes peer-reviewed original articles dealing with key aspects of operations research, including theory, practice, and computation. The journal publishes full-length research articles, short notes, expositions and surveys, reports on computational studies, and case studies that present new and innovative practical applications. In addition to regular issues, the journal publishes periodic special volumes that focus on defined fields of operations research, ranging from the highly theoretical to the algorithmic and the applied. These volumes have one or more Guest Editors who are responsible for collecting the papers and overseeing the refereeing process.
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