Relationship between the HeartMate Risk Score category on admission and outcome in patients with acute heart failure referred to a cardiac intensive care unit.

Abstract

The HeartMate Risk Score (HMRS), a simple clinical prediction rule based on the patients' age, albumin, creatinine, and the international normalized ratio of the prothrombin time (PT-INR), is correlated with mortality in the cohort of left ventricular assist device (LVAD) recipients. However, in an aging society, an LAVD is indicated for only a small proportion of patients with acute heart failure (AHF), and whether the HMRS has prognostic implications for unselected patients with AHF is unknown. This study aimed to assess the prognostic value of HMRS categories on admission in patients with AHF. We analyzed 339 hospitalized patients with AHF who had albumin, creatinine, and the PT-INR recorded on admission. The patients were categorized as follows: the High group (HMRS > 2.48, n = 131), Mid group (HMRS of 1.58-2.48, n = 97) group, and Low group (HMRS < 1.58, n = 111). The endpoints of this study were all-cause death and readmission for heart failure (HF). During a median follow-up of 247 days, 24 (18.3%) patients died in the High group, 7 (7.2%) died in the Mid group, and 8 (7.2%) died in the Low group. In a multivariable analysis adjusted for highly imbalanced baseline variables, a high HMRS was independently associated with survival, with a hazard ratio of 2.90 (95% confidence interval 1.42-5.96, P = 0.004). With regard to the composite endpoint of all-cause death and readmission for HF, the Mid group had a worse prognosis than the Low group, and the High group had the worst prognosis. A high HMRS on admission is associated with all-cause mortality and readmission for HF, and a mid-HMRS is associated with readmission for HF after AHF hospitalization. The HMRS may be a valid clinical tool to stratify the risk of adverse outcomes after hospitalization in unselected patients with AHF.