The Need for a Recurring Large-Scale Benchmarking Survey to Continually Evaluate Sampling Methods and Administration Modes: Lessons from the 2022 Collaborative Midterm Survey

Peter K. Enns, Colleen L. Barry, James N. Druckman, Sergio Garcia-Rios, David C. Wilson, Jonathon P. Schuldt
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Abstract

As survey methods adapt to technological and societal changes, a growing body of research seeks to understand the tradeoffs associated with various sampling methods and administration modes. We show how the NSF-funded 2022 Collaborative Midterm Survey (CMS) can be used as a dynamic and transparent framework for evaluating which sampling approaches - or combination of approaches - are best suited for various research goals. The CMS is ideally suited for this purpose because it includes almost 20,000 respondents interviewed using two administration modes (phone and online) and data drawn from random digit dialing, random address-based sampling, a probability-based panel, two nonprobability panels, and two nonprobability marketplaces. The analysis considers three types of population benchmarks (election data, administrative records, and large government surveys) and focuses on the national-level estimates as well as oversamples in three states (California, Florida, and Wisconsin). In addition to documenting how each of the survey strategies performed, we develop a strategy to assess how different combinations of approaches compare to different population benchmarks in order to guide researchers combining sampling methods and sources. We conclude by providing specific recommendations to public opinion and election survey researchers and demonstrating how our approach could be applied to a large government survey conducted at regular intervals to provide ongoing guidance to researchers, government, businesses, and nonprofits regarding the most appropriate survey sampling and administration methods.
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需要定期开展大规模基准调查,以持续评估抽样方法和管理模式:2022 年合作中期调查的经验教训
随着调查方法适应技术和社会的变化,越来越多的研究试图了解与各种抽样方法和管理模式相关的权衡。我们展示了如何将国家科学基金会资助的 2022 年中期合作调查 (CMS) 作为一个动态、透明的框架,评估哪种抽样方法或方法组合最适合各种研究目标。CMS 非常适合这一目的,因为它包括使用两种管理模式(电话和在线)访问的近 20,000 名受访者,以及从随机数字拨号、基于地址的随机抽样、基于概率的面板、两个概率面板和两个非概率市场抽取的数据。分析考虑了三种类型的人口基准(选举数据、行政记录和大型政府调查),重点关注全国范围内的估计值以及三个州(加利福尼亚州、佛罗里达州和威斯康星州)的超样本。除了记录每种调查策略的表现外,我们还制定了一种策略来评估不同方法组合与不同人口基准的比较情况,以便为研究人员结合抽样方法和来源提供指导。最后,我们向民意调查和选举调查研究人员提出了具体建议,并展示了如何将我们的方法应用于定期进行的大型政府调查,从而为研究人员、政府、企业和非营利组织提供有关最合适的调查抽样和管理方法的持续指导。
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