Mohammad Reza Maghami, Sahand Vahabzadeh, Arthur Guseni Oliver Mutambara, Saeid Jafarzadeh Ghoushchi, Chandima Gomes
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Failures in the integration of solar energy into smart grids can have significant implications for energy reliability and environmental sustainability, resulting in a greater dependence on conventional energy sources and increased carbon emissions. These failures can impact system functionality, efficiency, and long-term cost savings. Therefore, failure analysis plays a crucial role in identifying the underlying causes, devising appropriate solutions, and enhancing the performance of solar integration within smart grid systems. The conventional method of failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) is widely utilized to identify failure modes in various processes. However, the Risk Priority Number (RPN) scoring system employed in FMEA has faced criticism due to its limitations. To overcome this challenge, our hybrid FMEA approach integrates cost and time considerations into the RPN calculation, thereby enhancing the assessment of failure factors. In the second step of our methodology, we utilize the Spherical Fuzzy Step-Wise Weight Assessment Ratio Analysis (SF-SWARA) technique and expert insights to determine the weightage of the five underlying factors. Lastly, in the third phase, we propose the Spherical Fuzzy Weighted Aggregated Sum Product Assessment (SF-WASPAS) method to prioritize risks based on the outcomes of the previous phases, while taking into account the uncertainty in the determinants and assigning varying weights to them. According to SF-WASPAS, the highest-rated failure is connectivity and cybersecurity, underscoring the critical importance of ensuring secure and reliable connections in solar systems. Additionally, the FMEA results indicate that overheating or fire ranks as the most significant risk, emphasizing the need for effective fire prevention and mitigation strategies.
期刊介绍:
Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA) will publish research papers, reviews and technical notes on stochastic and probabilistic approaches to environmental sciences and engineering, including interactions of earth and atmospheric environments with people and ecosystems. The basic idea is to bring together research papers on stochastic modelling in various fields of environmental sciences and to provide an interdisciplinary forum for the exchange of ideas, for communicating on issues that cut across disciplinary barriers, and for the dissemination of stochastic techniques used in different fields to the community of interested researchers. Original contributions will be considered dealing with modelling (theoretical and computational), measurements and instrumentation in one or more of the following topical areas:
- Spatiotemporal analysis and mapping of natural processes.
- Enviroinformatics.
- Environmental risk assessment, reliability analysis and decision making.
- Surface and subsurface hydrology and hydraulics.
- Multiphase porous media domains and contaminant transport modelling.
- Hazardous waste site characterization.
- Stochastic turbulence and random hydrodynamic fields.
- Chaotic and fractal systems.
- Random waves and seafloor morphology.
- Stochastic atmospheric and climate processes.
- Air pollution and quality assessment research.
- Modern geostatistics.
- Mechanisms of pollutant formation, emission, exposure and absorption.
- Physical, chemical and biological analysis of human exposure from single and multiple media and routes; control and protection.
- Bioinformatics.
- Probabilistic methods in ecology and population biology.
- Epidemiological investigations.
- Models using stochastic differential equations stochastic or partial differential equations.
- Hazardous waste site characterization.