Pengaruh Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka, Indeks Pembangunan Manusia, Laju Pertumbuhan PDRB Per Kapita dan Upah Minimum Provinsi Terhadap Persentase Penduduk Miskin di Indonesia pada Tahun 2021-2023

Wulan Ely Khasanah, Annisa Ardiantika, Bintang Senandung Kala, Varrel Ega Januarta
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Abstract

Poverty is a problem faced by Indonesia that affects social and economic welfare. This research aims to analyze the influence of the Open Unemployment Rate (TPT), Human Development Index (HDI), GDP Growth Rate per capita, and Provincial Minimum Wage (UMP) on the percentage poor population in Indonesia in 2021-2023. The data used is secondary data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) which covers 34 provinces in Indonesia. The research method uses the Common Effects Model (CEM), Fixed Effects Model (FEM), and Random Effects Model (REM) estimation models, with the Chow test and Hausman test to determine the best model. The research results show that TPT and UMP have a significant influence on the percentage of poor people, while HDI and GDP growth rate per capita are not significant. Rate and provincial minimum wages play an important role in poverty reduction efforts in Indonesia. The results of this research provide useful insights for policy makers in formulating effective strategies to improve community welfare
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公开失业率、人类发展指数、人均国内生产总值增长率和省最低工资对 2021-2023 年印度尼西亚贫困人口比例的影响
贫困是印度尼西亚面临的一个影响社会和经济福利的问题。本研究旨在分析公开失业率(TPT)、人类发展指数(HDI)、人均 GDP 增长率和省最低工资(UMP)对 2021-2023 年印尼贫困人口比例的影响。所使用的数据是中央统计局(BPS)的二手数据,涵盖印度尼西亚的 34 个省。研究方法采用共同效应模型(CEM)、固定效应模型(FEM)和随机效应模型(REM)估计模型,并通过周氏检验(Chow test)和豪斯曼检验(Hausman test)确定最佳模型。研究结果表明,TPT 和 UMP 对贫困人口比例有显著影响,而 HDI 和人均 GDP 增长率不显著。印尼的最低工资率和省级最低工资在减贫工作中发挥着重要作用。研究结果为政策制定者提供了有益的启示,有助于他们制定有效的战略来改善社区福利。
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