Predicting the course of uveitis against the background of juvenile idiophatic arthritis when using topical therapy regimens. The results of mathematical modeling

V. Chasnyk, A.V. Kononov, V. Brzheskiy, E. Gaidar, O. Kalashnikova, M. Dubko, M. Kostik, V. Masalova, L. Snegireva, T. Nikitina, N. Kononova
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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Juvenile idiopathic arthritis is the most common rheumatic disease in children, and uveitis is its most destructive extra-articular manifestation. Despite the existence of Federal clinical guidelines for the management of these patients, their treatment is largely based on the experience of doctors and varies greatly even within the same country. AIM: The aim of the study is to find factors for predicting the course of uveitis and optimizing therapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The case histories of 150 children aged 1.5 to 17 years with active uveitis in the structure of juvenile arthritis were analyzed using multifactorial modeling (construction of classification trees). RESULTS: The fact of a significant influence of the time elapsed from the onset of rheumatic disease and uveitis until the start of therapy by genetically engineered medications (tumor necrosis factor alpha inhibitors) in treatment programs has been established. CONCLUSIONS: Thus, the inclusion of this factor into the group of controlling ones makes it possible to achieve inactive uveitis status after 1, 3, and 6 months in a higher percentage of cases. However, the obtained data still require additional clinical confirmation.
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在使用局部治疗方案时,预测以幼年特发性关节炎为背景的葡萄膜炎病程。数学建模的结果
背景:幼年特发性关节炎是儿童最常见的风湿性疾病,而葡萄膜炎是其最具破坏性的关节外表现。尽管有联邦临床指南来管理这些患者,但他们的治疗在很大程度上是基于医生的经验,即使在同一个国家也存在很大差异。目的:本研究旨在找出预测葡萄膜炎病程和优化治疗的因素。材料与方法:采用多因素建模法(构建分类树)分析了150名年龄在1.5至17岁之间、患有幼年关节炎结构中活动性葡萄膜炎的儿童的病史。结果:在治疗方案中,从风湿病和葡萄膜炎发病到开始接受基因工程药物(肿瘤坏死因子α抑制剂)治疗的时间有显著影响,这一事实已经得到证实。结论:因此,将这一因素纳入控制因素组,可使更高比例的病例在 1、3 和 6 个月后达到非活动性葡萄膜炎状态。然而,所获得的数据仍需要更多的临床证实。
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