Bifurcation and Instability of a Spatial Epidemic Model

Hailong Yuan, You Zhou, Xiaoyi Yang, Yang Lv, Gaihui Guo
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Abstract

This paper is concerned with a spatial [Formula: see text] epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate. First, the existence of the equilibrium is discussed in different conditions. Then the main criteria for the stability and instability of the constant steady-state solutions are presented. In addition, the effect of diffusion coefficients on Turing instability is described. Next, by applying the normal form theory and the center manifold theorem, the existence and direction of Hopf bifurcation for the ordinary differential equations system and the partial differential equations system are given, respectively. The bifurcation diagrams of Hopf and Turing bifurcations are shown. Moreover, a priori estimates and local steady-state bifurcation are investigated. Furthermore, our analysis focuses on providing specific conditions that can determine the local bifurcation direction and extend the local bifurcation to the global one. Finally, the numerical results demonstrate that the intrinsic growth rate, denoted as [Formula: see text], has significant influence on the spatial pattern. Specifically, different patterns appear, with the increase of [Formula: see text]. The obtained results greatly expand on the discovery of pattern formation in the epidemic model.
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空间流行病模型的分岔与不稳定性
本文关注的是一种具有非线性发病率的空间[公式:见正文]流行病模型。首先,讨论了不同条件下平衡的存在性。然后提出了恒定稳态解的稳定性和不稳定性的主要标准。此外,还描述了扩散系数对图灵不稳定性的影响。接着,运用正态形式理论和中心流形定理,分别给出了常微分方程系统和偏微分方程系统的霍普夫分岔存在性和方向。给出了霍普夫分岔和图灵分岔的分岔图。此外,我们还研究了先验估计和局部稳态分岔。此外,我们的分析侧重于提供特定条件,以确定局部分岔方向,并将局部分岔扩展到全局分岔。最后,数值结果表明,本征增长率(表示为[公式:见正文])对空间模式有重大影响。具体来说,随着[公式:见正文]的增加,会出现不同的模式。所获得的结果极大地扩展了流行病模型中模式形成的发现。
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