The Trend of Unemployment and Crime Index during COVID-19 Pandemic in Malaysia

Nor Hidayah Harun, Nor Fadzilah Zainal, Siti Nur Fadzilah Muhsain
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Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused the number of unemployed to increase in Malaysia and the issue of unemployment has become a social problem that has always been positively linked to criminal activity. However, the crime index in Malaysia showed a decrease over the period of the Movement Control Order (MCO). This study aims to explore the issue using secondary data taken from various sources such as journals, books, proceedings, and press reports. The results of the study found that the crime index decreased even though the number of unemployed increased because it was in line with the theory of crime opportunity. As the community needs to stay at home during the MCO period, the chances of committing index crime are low because the home as well as property are monitored as well as individuals are not exposed to violent crime. However, the domino effect is non -index crime is reported to increase due to the stress of life that makes the individual is motivated to commit non-index crime. The results of the analysis of this study are expected to help the government, especially the Department of Social Welfare to be more efficient by helping and supporting the victims of non-index crime. The results of this study are also expected to provide an explanation to the community on the question of why the unemployment rate is negatively related to index crime as well as remove the negative impression of the report given by the Royal Malaysian Police (RMP). However, the results of this study are only a preliminary analysis and it is suggested that empirical studies can be conducted to support the results of this analysis.
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马来西亚 COVID-19 大流行期间的失业率和犯罪指数趋势
COVID-19 大流行导致马来西亚失业人数增加,失业问题已成为一个社会问题,而这 一问题一直与犯罪活动呈正相关。然而,马来西亚的犯罪指数在《人口流动管制令》(MCO)实施期间有所下降。本研究旨在利用从期刊、书籍、会议记录和新闻报道等各种来源获取的二手数据来探讨这一问题。研究结果发现,尽管失业人数增加,但犯罪指数却下降了,因为这符合犯罪机会理论。由于社区在 MCO 期间需要待在家里,犯下指数犯罪的几率很低,因为家庭和财产受到监控,个人也不会接触到暴力犯罪。然而,多米诺骨牌效应是,由于生活压力导致个人有动机实施非指数犯罪,据报告非指数犯罪会增加。本研究的分析结果有望帮助政府,尤其是社会福利部更有效地帮助和支持非指数犯罪的受害者。本研究的结果也有望向社会解释为什么失业率与指数犯罪呈负相关,并消除马来西亚皇家警察(RMP)报告中的负面印象。不过,本研究的结果只是初步分析,建议可以进行实证研究来支持本分析的结果。
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