Financial Distress Analysis of Top 100 Malaysian Public Listed Companies during COVID-19 Pandemic using Altman Z-Score Analysis

Marshita Hashim, Kamaruzzaman Muhammad, Erlana K. Ghani, Maz Ainy Abd Azis
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Abstract

The outbreaks of the COVID-19 pandemic at the beginning of 2020 have led to considerable economic pressure worldwide, including in Malaysia. The Malaysian government has issued a series of Movement Control Orders (MCOs) requiring companies in most sectors to be closed to the public, with the exception of essential services and certain sectors. The objective of this study is to analyse whether there is a difference in the financial distress of Malaysian companies before and during the COVID-19 pandemic by using the Altman Z-score method. In this study, the annual reports of 83 different companies from 2017 to 2019 and the post-pandemic period (2020 to 2021) were analysed. This study shows that the global COVID-19 pandemic scenario has a significant impact on the logistics and transport sectors, the consumer goods market, and the manufacturing sector. A significant number of companies have been shaken and are now struggling with difficult circumstances as a direct result of the COVID-19 outbreak. This study also shows that almost half of the companies face the possibility of going bankrupt within this period. Surprisingly, there are companies that seem to have improved their performance despite the widespread COVID-19 epidemic. The findings of this study can provide valuable insights for regulators looking to develop strategies to help listed companies cope with future pandemic-related problems.
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利用 Altman Z-Score 分析法对 COVID-19 大流行期间马来西亚 100 强上市公司的财务困境进行分析
2020 年初爆发的 COVID-19 大流行病在全球范围内造成了巨大的经济压力,马来西亚也不例外。马来西亚政府发布了一系列 "调度令"(MCOs),要求除基本服务和某些行业外,大部分行业的公司对公众关闭。本研究的目的是利用 Altman Z-score方法分析马来西亚公司在 COVID-19 大流行之前和期间的财务困境是否存在差异。本研究分析了 83 家不同公司在 2017 年至 2019 年以及疫情过后(2020 年至 2021 年)的年报。本研究表明,全球 COVID-19 大流行情景对物流和运输部门、消费品市场以及制造业产生了重大影响。COVID-19 的爆发直接导致大量公司受到冲击,目前正在困境中挣扎。这项研究还表明,近一半的公司在此期间面临破产的可能。令人惊讶的是,尽管 COVID-19 疫情大范围爆发,但仍有一些公司的业绩似乎有所改善。这项研究的结果可以为监管机构提供宝贵的见解,帮助他们制定战略,帮助上市公司应对未来与流行病相关的问题。
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期刊介绍: International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues (IJEFI) is the international academic journal, and is a double-blind, peer-reviewed academic journal publishing high quality conceptual and measure development articles in the areas of economics, finance and related disciplines. The journal has a worldwide audience. The journal''s goal is to stimulate the development of economics, finance and related disciplines theory worldwide by publishing interesting articles in a highly readable format. The journal is published Bimonthly (6 issues per year) and covers a wide variety of topics including (but not limited to): Macroeconomcis International Economics Econometrics Business Economics Growth and Development Regional Economics Tourism Economics International Trade Finance International Finance Macroeconomic Aspects of Finance General Financial Markets Financial Institutions Behavioral Finance Public Finance Asset Pricing Financial Management Options and Futures Taxation, Subsidies and Revenue Corporate Finance and Governance Money and Banking Markets and Institutions of Emerging Markets Public Economics and Public Policy Financial Economics Applied Financial Econometrics Financial Risk Analysis Risk Management Portfolio Management Financial Econometrics.
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