Causes of Incomplete Risk Identification in Major Transportation Engineering and Construction Projects

Evan P. Dicks, K. Molenaar
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Abstract

Risk management is a widely recognized best practice for project teams to enable successful delivery of major transportation projects. Whereas many risks are identified in workshops conducted during the design stage, other risks relevant to the project are either overlooked, missed, or underassessed, only to occur later in the project lifecycle. There is limited research examining the causes of incomplete risk identification, particularly as it relates to construction projects. Contributing factors of incomplete risk identification were examined through 12 interviews with risk management professionals based on their involvement with projects that experienced a risk that was unidentified or underassessed. The study identified 10 contributing factors through a thematic analysis of the interviews including cognitive biases, communication and alignment, facilitator expertise, imagination, experience, level of detail, management support, process standardization, stakeholder participation, and time constraints. The findings provide key insights into understanding why some but not all risks are identified, and serve as a foundation for improving the identification workshops of major transportation projects.
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重大交通工程建设项目风险识别不全面的原因
风险管理是项目团队公认的最佳实践,可帮助成功交付大型交通项目。许多风险在设计阶段的研讨会上就已识别,而与项目相关的其他风险要么被忽视、错过,要么评估不足,只是在项目生命周期的后期才出现。关于风险识别不全面的原因,特别是与建筑项目有关的原因,研究十分有限。通过与风险管理专业人员进行 12 次访谈,研究了造成风险识别不完整的因素,这些专业人员参与的项目都存在未识别或评估不足的风险。研究通过对访谈进行主题分析,确定了 10 个促成因素,包括认知偏差、沟通和协调、主持人的专业知识、想象力、经验、详细程度、管理支持、流程标准化、利益相关者的参与以及时间限制。研究结果提供了重要的见解,有助于理解为什么会识别出某些而非所有风险,并为改进重大交通项目的识别工作奠定了基础。
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